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<Item xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" DiscussionAlias="Comment" FourthColour="None" Logo="colour" PageStartNumber="1" Rendering="OpenLearn" SchemaVersion="2.0" SecondColour="None" Template="Garamond_Crown_Quarto" TextType="BodyMatter" ThirdColour="None" id="X-TU875_1" xsi:noNamespaceSchemaLocation="http://www.open.edu/openlearn/ocw/mod/oucontent/schemas/v2_0/OUIntermediateSchema.xsd" x_oucontentversion="2023121300"><meta name="vle:osep" content="false"/><meta name="equations" content="mathjax"/><meta name="vle:server" content="http://www.open.edu/openlearn/ocw"/><meta name="aaaf:olink_server" content="http://www.open.edu/openlearn/ocw"/><meta name="dc:source" content="http://www.open.edu/openlearn/science-maths-technology/computing-and-ict/systems-computer/diagramming-development-2-exploring-interrelationships/content-section-0"/><CourseCode>TU875_1</CourseCode><CourseTitle/><ItemID> <!--leave blank--> </ItemID><ItemTitle>Diagramming for development 2: Exploring interrelationships</ItemTitle><FrontMatter><Imprint><Standard><GeneralInfo><Paragraph><b>About this free course</b></Paragraph><Paragraph>This free course provides a sample of level 3 study in Computing &amp; IT <a href="http://www.open.ac.uk/courses/find/computing-and-it?utm_source=openlearn&amp;utm_campaign=ou&amp;utm_medium=ebook">http://www.open.ac.uk/courses/find/computing-and-it</a></Paragraph><Paragraph>This version of the content may include video, images and interactive content that may not be optimised for your device.</Paragraph><Paragraph>You can experience this free course as it was originally designed on OpenLearn, the home of free learning from The Open University: <a href="http://www.open.edu/openlearn/science-maths-technology/computing-and-ict/systems-computer/diagramming-development-2-exploring-interrelationships/content-section-0?utm_source=openlearn&amp;utm_campaign=ol&amp;utm_medium=ebook">http://www.open.edu/openlearn/science-maths-technology/computing-and-ict/systems-computer/diagramming-development-2-exploring-interrelationships/content-section-0</a>.</Paragraph><Paragraph>There you’ll also be able to track your progress via your activity record, which you can use to demonstrate your learning.</Paragraph></GeneralInfo><Address><AddressLine/></Address>
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                    <Paragraph><?oxy_custom_start type="oxy_content_highlight" color="140,255,140"?>First published 2012.<?oxy_custom_end?></Paragraph>
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                </Copyright><Rights><Paragraph/><Paragraph><b>Intellectual property</b></Paragraph><Paragraph>Unless otherwise stated, this resource is released under the terms of the Creative Commons Licence v4.0 <a href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.en_GB">http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/deed.en_GB</a>. Within that The Open University interprets this licence in the following way: <a href="http://www.open.edu/openlearn/about-openlearn/frequently-asked-questions-on-openlearn">www.open.edu/openlearn/about-openlearn/frequently-asked-questions-on-openlearn</a>. Copyright and rights falling outside the terms of the Creative Commons Licence are retained or controlled by The Open University. Please read the full text before using any of the content.</Paragraph><Paragraph>We believe the primary barrier to accessing high-quality educational experiences is cost, which is why we aim to publish as much free content as possible under an open licence. If it proves difficult to release content under our preferred Creative Commons licence (e.g. because we can’t afford or gain the clearances or find suitable alternatives), we will still release the materials for free under a personal end-user licence.</Paragraph><Paragraph>This is because the learning experience will always be the same high quality offering and that should always be seen as positive – even if at times the licensing is different to Creative Commons.</Paragraph><Paragraph>When using the content you must attribute us (The Open University) (the OU) and any identified author in accordance with the terms of the Creative Commons Licence.</Paragraph><Paragraph>The Acknowledgements section is used to list, amongst other things, third party (Proprietary), licensed content which is not subject to Creative Commons licensing. Proprietary content must be used (retained) intact and in context to the content at all times.</Paragraph><Paragraph>The Acknowledgements section is also used to bring to your attention any other Special Restrictions which may apply to the content. For example there may be times when the Creative Commons Non-Commercial Sharealike licence does not apply to any of the content even if owned by us (The Open University). In these instances, unless stated otherwise, the content may be used for personal and non-commercial use.</Paragraph><Paragraph>We have also identified as Proprietary other material included in the content which is not subject to Creative Commons Licence. These are OU logos, trading names and may extend to certain photographic and video images and sound recordings and any other material as may be brought to your attention.</Paragraph><Paragraph>Unauthorised use of any of the content may constitute a breach of the terms and conditions and/or intellectual property laws.</Paragraph><Paragraph>We reserve the right to alter, amend or bring to an end any terms and conditions provided here without notice.</Paragraph><Paragraph>All rights falling outside the terms of the Creative Commons licence are retained or controlled by The Open University.</Paragraph><Paragraph>Head of Intellectual Property, The Open University</Paragraph></Rights><Edited><Paragraph/></Edited><Printed><Paragraph/></Printed><ISBN>978-1-4730-2009-2 (.kdl)<br/>978-1-4730-1241-7 (.epub)</ISBN><Edition/></Standard></Imprint><Covers><Cover template="false" type="ebook" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/tu875_1_cover_ebook.jpg"/><Cover template="false" type="A4" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/tu875_1_cover_pdf.jpg"/></Covers></FrontMatter><Unit><UnitID/><UnitTitle/><Session id="__introduction">
            <Title>Introduction</Title>
            <Paragraph>This unit introduces you to influence diagrams, multiple cause diagrams and cognitive maps, taking you step by step through the processes of developing visual representations which have proven practical value amongst international development practitioners. These particular diagramming techniques are helpful in analysing inter-relationships between factors associated with development intervention.</Paragraph>
            <Paragraph>The unit uses the <CrossRef idref="v95db5f09-f2af-41e9-9954-cc66b0937640">Working for Water Programme (WWP) case study</CrossRef>, introduced as a programme that actively addresses the impoverishment of black South Africans. 14 million South Africans currently have no or inadequate water supplies.</Paragraph>
            <Paragraph>In 1997, unemployment stood at 37%, and 50% of the population was classified as ‘poor’. With 240 projects since its inception, the WWP has generated 42,000 new jobs at the same time as creating environmental awareness and systems of social welfare benefits and clearing 450,000 ha of the invasive plants</Paragraph>
            <Paragraph>The diagramming techniques develop skills in understanding complex situations of intervention and revealing significant challenges as well as opportunities of development intervention.</Paragraph>
            <Paragraph>This OpenLearn course provides a sample of level 3 study in <?oxy_attributes href="&lt;change type=&quot;modified&quot; oldValue=&quot;http://www.open.ac.uk/courses/find/computing-and-it?utm_source=openlearn&amp;amp;amp;utm_campaign=ou&amp;amp;amp;utm_medium=ebook&quot; author=&quot;sm36828&quot; timestamp=&quot;20240617T163026+0100&quot; /&gt;"?><a href="https://www.open.ac.uk/courses/computing-it">Computing <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T163034+0100" content="&amp;amp;"?><?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T163034+0100"?>and<?oxy_insert_end?> IT<?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T163035+0100"?> courses<?oxy_insert_end?></a><?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T163039+0100"?>.<?oxy_insert_end?></Paragraph>
        </Session><Session id="__learningoutcomes"><Title>Learning outcomes</Title><Paragraph>After studying this course, you should be able to:</Paragraph><BulletedList><ListItem><Paragraph>describe and discriminate between three different diagramming techniques for exploring inter-relationships</Paragraph></ListItem><ListItem><Paragraph>appreciate how each technique can be used to explore a complex situation, issue or problem</Paragraph></ListItem><ListItem><Paragraph>use particular diagramming techniques for brainstorming ideas and concepts associated with complex situations</Paragraph></ListItem><ListItem><Paragraph>analyse relationships and links between variables in development intervention</Paragraph></ListItem><ListItem><Paragraph>diagnose strengths and weaknesses, opportunities and threats associated with development intervention.</Paragraph></ListItem></BulletedList></Session><Session id="v95db5f09-f2af-41e9-9954-cc66b0937640"><Title>1 Case study: the Working for Water Programme</Title><Paragraph>Before we look at the diagrams, take a moment to read this case study. You will be referring to it throughout this unit, so for convenience a printer friendly version is also supplied.</Paragraph><Paragraph>Should you need to refer back to this case study at any time, simply click “1 Case study: the Working for Water Programme” in the left-hand menu, and then the Back button on your browser to return to the page you were on previously.</Paragraph><CaseStudy><Heading>The Working for Water Programme - working for human welfare in South Africa</Heading><Paragraph>A <u>printer friendly version</u> of this case study is available (please click on ‘View document’ below). You might find it useful to have a hard copy to hand as you work through the rest of this unit.</Paragraph><InternalSection><Paragraph><olink targetdoc="wwp">View document</olink></Paragraph></InternalSection><Paragraph>South Africa is waging a new sort of battle. Beginning at dawn each day, thousands of citizens wield scythes, axes and pesticides against a rapidly advancing and thirsty enemy: the alien trees, shrubs and aquatic plants that thrive in South Africa’s mountains. These invasive non-native plants have infested 8% of this semi-arid country. In addition to depriving South Africans of needed water, these plants obstruct rivers, exacerbate the risk and damage of wildfires and floods, increase soil erosion and reduce biodiversity by crowding out native ecosystems.</Paragraph><SubHeading>Overview</SubHeading><Paragraph>South Africa ’s response to the invasion may be the largest and most expensive programme of alien plant control ever undertaken. The South African government, in full agreement with various international biodiversity conventions, is keen to protect the biodiversity of its country. Through a multi-agency effort called the Working for Water Programme (WWP), the government has hired thousands of citizens to hack away the thirsty invasive plants and to turn the by-products of their labour into saleable goods such as fuel wood, furniture and toys. Through an inter-disciplinary approach, this integrated programme addresses the crucial issue of competing needs for water (be they of people, growing urban centres, industrial activities or ecosystems). Since its inception in 1995, the Programme has offered people opportunities to acquire a living wage and new skills. In some project areas, the Programme provides childcare, community centres, national water conservation education and has also improved general health (the lack of water or use of polluted water can generate ‘water-related diseases’).</Paragraph><Paragraph>The WWP therefore actively addresses the impoverishment of black South Africans, which is a serious issue. 14 million South Africans currently have no or inadequate water supplies. In 1997, unemployment stood at 37%, and 50% of the population was classified as ‘poor’. With 240 projects since its inception, the WWP has generated 42,000 new jobs at the same time as creating environmental awareness and systems of social welfare benefits and clearing 450,000 ha of the invasive plants. These complement the relatively recent promotion of stakeholders’ participation in the implementation of sustainable resource management. The end of apartheid has also contributed to the crafting of water reforms that encourage local participation in decision-making. However, it is a slow process and, in certain places, landowners who still favour the lucrative planting of invasive species (for example, pines for timber production) benefit from preferential water charges.</Paragraph><Paragraph>The WWP has prompted the introduction of innovative water pricing and charges. There is a commitment to supplying water for all citizens, and the national water strategy has established a ‘basic needs reserve’ for humans - an allocation of water for drinking, food preparation and personal hygiene. The competition for various water uses is strong and, through the establishment of water charges for consumption beyond the basic needs reserve, the South African government is trying to discourage over-use and wastage, and hence save water.</Paragraph><Paragraph>New concerns and debates at international levels on the importance of water and water law have also helped formulate the South African national water strategy. Since the democratic elections of 1994, the nation has crafted a suite of water policies and laws to redress past inefficiencies, inequities and environmental degradation. For example, a 1998 law makes all water public property, repealing the previous statute that assigned water rights based on property ownership. These new policies are considered among the most progressive in the world and aim at returning a voice to all citizens.</Paragraph><Paragraph>Research on the impact of invasive species on water supply has helped generate interest in today’s integrated invasive plant control effort. More economic studies that illustrate the impacts of invaders and the financial benefits of control are essential to justify the increasingly large-scale funding that the Working for Water Programme requires.</Paragraph><Paragraph>By uniting social goals with ecosystem restoration, and by capitalising on public pressure to provide water to millions of people, WWP has mustered political will, public support and funding at a time of fierce competition among the many social welfare projects visualised by South Africa ’s new democratic government. Although success is far from assured, the multiple dividends that WWP pays are substantial: a healthier ecosystem, more water at less cost, and employment for thousands in a country where opportunities to escape poverty are rare.</Paragraph><SubHeading> <b>Reference</b> </SubHeading><Paragraph>United Nations Development Programme, United Nations Environment Programme, World Bank, and World Resources Institute (2001) ‘Freshwater Systems: Working for Water, Working for Human Welfare in South Africa’ in: <i>World Resources 2000</i> − <i>2001: People and Ecosystems, the Fraying Web of Life</i> , pp. 193−205, Washington, World Resources Institute.</Paragraph></CaseStudy></Session><Session id="sess01"><Title>2 The role of diagramming</Title><Paragraph>The diagrams in this unit are designed to help you analyse and reflect on situations, make decisions and plan action. Each diagramming technique is taught around a case study of the Working for Water Programme in South Africa. The case is used to demonstrate what purposes the techniques serve and how they may be used. These techniques can be applied to problems in other contexts, including institutional change and development, or violent conflict and post conflict reconstruction, or project design and management.</Paragraph><Paragraph>Diagramming serves three general purposes.</Paragraph><NumberedList class="decimal"><ListItem>To note down your thoughts on a particular problem, situation or issue (sometimes called your system of interest) in a way that organises those thoughts so you can see links and relationships between the different factors you’ve identified.</ListItem><ListItem>To communicate your ideas to others, possibly across different cultures, in circumstances where the right words can be hard to find to establish the shared understanding needed to enable more meaningful dialogue.</ListItem><ListItem>To help you, either as an individual or part of a group, to analyse a problem and to think creatively and in new ways about possible solutions, especially around difficult and contested issues.</ListItem></NumberedList><Paragraph>In planning an intervention diagramming also serves three more specific operational tasks:</Paragraph><BulletedList><ListItem>brainstorming, in which all ideas, concepts, issues, stakes, stakeholders, etc. relevant to an intervention are noted;</ListItem><ListItem>analysis, where the relationships and links between the items identified are explored;</ListItem><ListItem>diagnosis, where the strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats to intervention are examined.</ListItem></BulletedList><Section id="e0b9e4da-587d-49d4-b092-954161acf94e">
                <Title>2.1 When to use each diagram</Title>
                <Paragraph>For each diagram description below there is a suggested Activity which is itself an animated tutorial.  These are generic tutorials associated with the Study pack T552 Systems Diagramming.</Paragraph>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Influence diagram</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Table>
                    <TableHead/>
                    <tbody>
                        <tr>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">I will use this type of diagramming</th>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">… when I want to:</th>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">Examples of use</th>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td><Figure> <Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/influence_icon.jpg" webthumbnail="false" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="01fb7cbd" x_imagesrc="influence_icon.jpg" x_imagewidth="90" x_imageheight="74"/> </Figure></td>
                            <td><BulletedList> <ListItem>identify structural factors of influence (including actors or agents)</ListItem> <ListItem>differentiate between strong and weak influences</ListItem> <ListItem>identify what might be obstacles (‘bad’ influences)</ListItem> </BulletedList></td>
                            <td><BulletedList> <ListItem>To explore the strengths and weaknesses of the structural factors from different viewpoints.</ListItem> <ListItem>To identify factors that might need particular attention in order to bring about constructive change.</ListItem> </BulletedList></td>
                        </tr>
                    </tbody>
                </Table>
                <Activity>
                    <Heading>Activity 1 What is an influence diagram?</Heading>
                    <Question>
                        <Paragraph><?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T153607+0100" content="Click on ‘View’ to watch the animation."?><?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T153618+0100"?><a href="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/science-maths-technology/engineering-technology/influence-diagrams">Watch the video on Influence diagrams.</a><?oxy_insert_end?></Paragraph>
                    </Question>
                    <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T153625+0100" content="&lt;MediaContent height=&quot;500&quot; src=&quot;\\DCTM_FSS\content\Teaching and curriculum\Modules\Shared Resources\OpenLearn\TU875_1\1.0\id-what.swf&quot; type=&quot;flash&quot; webthumbnail=&quot;true&quot; width=&quot;780&quot;&gt;&lt;Caption&gt;Animation 1&lt;/Caption&gt;&lt;Transcript&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Drawing an influence diagram can help you to think about situations where many different bodies, groups and individuals influence each other in various ways, and where perhaps you would like to influence the situation yourself.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 2&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Blobs represent the entities which influence each other, and arrows represent the flows of influence between them.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 3&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;As with rich pictures, drawing an influence diagram involves a process of discrimination. If you include every influence you can think of, you’ll end up with a tangled network of interconnected nodes.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;The diagram becomes useful only as you identify the influences which are most significant in relation to your particular interest in the situation.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 4&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;The entities exerting or experiencing influence might be individuals or groups - or they could be other things which exert influence in the situation, such as culture, mood, legislation, salary levels and so on.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 5&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;The thickness of the arrow is generally used to indicate different strengths of influence.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;You might use colour or line-style to represent specific &lt;i&gt;types&lt;/i&gt; of influence, in which case you’d need to provide a key.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Or you might label an influence arrow, if the type of influence is not clear from the context of the diagram.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 6&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;As with all systems diagrams, it is the process, more than the product, which is of value. The process of mapping influence flows imposes a discipline on your thinking. This can help you to think more clearly about exactly how influence operates in a situation - and therefore about how you might act in order to most effectively influence the situation yourself.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 7&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;As with other diagram types, influence diagrams are tools for both individual and group thinking. Working on such diagrams in a group can reveal differences in perceptions, which lead to constructive discussions and new understandings. In both individual and group work, standing back and looking at what you have constructed can lead to unexpected insights about how best to take action in a situation.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 8&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Drawn as part of a systemic analysis, the entities in an influence diagram may be regarded as components of a system of interest. So at some point - either before drawing the influence diagram, or perhaps as you begin to refine it - you will probably find it helpful to use a systems map to define a structure, purpose and boundary to your system of interest.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 9&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;In fact visually speaking, influence diagrams are just systems maps with added influence arrows. This may not be the most helpful way of regarding them though, because although there is a logical progression from systems map to influence diagram, if your primary interest is to do with influence, you might find yourself plunging straight into an influence diagram, and this focus on influence is likely to govern the way you define and structure the components of your system of interest.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 10&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Thinking about the structure of your system of interest will lead you to think about the components which lie in its environment, and the nature of the influence they exert. In general, components are regarded as part of the environment of a system if they influence it in some way. So drawing an influence arrow from a component in the environment to the system boundary adds no information - to be useful it should show exactly &lt;i&gt;which&lt;/i&gt; component within the system is influenced.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 11&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;As with a systems map, the diagram represents a snapshot of the situation at a point in time. It doesn’t show how the situation changes over time (and in particular, it is not used to show sequences of events or processes). The components are regarded as part of the &lt;i&gt;structure&lt;/i&gt; of the situation, because they &lt;i&gt;change only slowly&lt;/i&gt; relative to the time-span of the influences you are interested in.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 12&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;If you can lay out the diagram to show how the primary influences &lt;i&gt;flow&lt;/i&gt; through your system of interest, you can begin to analyse how influence operates in the situation. For example, you might see a chain of strong influences, with just one weak link. Or you might notice a missing link in what would otherwise be a powerful flow of influences. Or you might notice the significance of an otherwise overlooked relationship.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 13&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Three common mistakes in influence diagrams are using double-headed influence arrows, confusing flows of influence with sequences of events, and confusing flows of influence with flows of materials.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 14&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Double-headed influence arrows are used to represent reciprocal influences of the same strength and type. Unless the two entities influence each other in exactly the same way, you should use two separate arrows, one headed each way.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 15&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Sequences of events and procedures, or flows of materials, do not belong in an influence diagram. In a finished diagram they’re a sign of muddled thinking. Eliminating them from a working diagram is part of what’s helpful about using this diagram type to clarify your thinking.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 16&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;A final important distinction is between influence and causality. The next section covers multiple cause diagrams, and it is essential to distinguish these from influence diagrams. Visually, the diagrams are similar, and are generally distinguished by drawing blobs around the nodes of influence diagrams, but not around those of multiple cause diagrams.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;In some cases a systems practitioner will draw an influence diagram before going on to work on a multiple cause diagram, and this is mentioned in the T552 text. However some systems teachers have observed that this is an unhelpful connection to make in the mind of a new practitioner. There is an intuitive connection between the two: ‘I want to influence someone because I want to cause something to happen’. But the two are very different: they don’t map onto each other.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Influences are part of the structure of a situation. They exist at a point in time between &lt;i&gt;entities&lt;/i&gt; - things. They &lt;i&gt;may&lt;/i&gt; possibly lead to change, but they don’t represent that change.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Cause and effect belong to process. They operate over time, and represent the &lt;i&gt;mechanisms&lt;/i&gt; by which change takes place. The nodes in a multiple cause diagram represent states and events, rather than &lt;i&gt;things&lt;/i&gt;.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Having said that it can, on occasion, be difficult to distinguish between the two. For example, mood, which I mentioned earlier, could be regarded as an entity which influences a situation, &lt;i&gt;or&lt;/i&gt; as a state which is caused and which has effects. It might appear in either diagram type. Ultimately what distinguishes your choice of diagram type is the type of situation, and your interest in it. If you’re interested in the direction of political influence, use an influence diagram. If you’re interested in the mechanism by which change occurs, use a multiple cause diagram.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;/Transcript&gt;&lt;/MediaContent&gt;"?>
                </Activity>
                <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T153632+0100" content="&lt;Paragraph&gt;Click on &lt;olink targetdoc=&quot;Influence diagram&quot;&gt;influence diagram &lt;/olink&gt;to see the description of the animated tutorial.&lt;/Paragraph&gt;"?>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Multiple cause diagram</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Table>
                    <TableHead/>
                    <tbody>
                        <tr>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">I will use this type of diagramming</th>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">… when I want to:</th>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">Examples of use</th>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td><Figure> <Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/multiple_icon.jpg" webthumbnail="false" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="489ef0de" x_imagesrc="multiple_icon.jpg" x_imagewidth="90" x_imageheight="75"/> </Figure></td>
                            <td><BulletedList> <ListItem>identify the process of why an event happened (the causes and sub-causes of a phenomenon) and hence the agency of change</ListItem> <ListItem>identify how these causes relate to each other through flows of causation</ListItem> <ListItem>identify a suitable point of intervention to support success or inhibit or reduce problems.</ListItem> </BulletedList></td>
                            <td><BulletedList> <ListItem>To explore the strengths and weaknesses of the structural factors from different viewpoints.</ListItem> </BulletedList></td>
                        </tr>
                    </tbody>
                </Table>
                <Activity>
                    <Heading>Activity 2 What is a multiple cause diagram?</Heading>
                    <Question>
                        <Paragraph><?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T162341+0100" content="Click on ‘View’ to watch the animation."?><?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T162341+0100"?><a href="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/science-maths-technology/engineering-technology/multiple-cause-diagrams">Watch the video on multiple cause diagrams</a>.<?oxy_insert_end?></Paragraph>
                    </Question>
                    <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T162405+0100" content="&lt;MediaContent height=&quot;500&quot; src=&quot;\\DCTM_FSS\content\Teaching and curriculum\Modules\Shared Resources\OpenLearn\TU875_1\1.0\mc1.swf&quot; type=&quot;flash&quot; webthumbnail=&quot;true&quot; width=&quot;780&quot;&gt;&lt;Caption&gt;Animation 2&lt;/Caption&gt;&lt;Transcript&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Multiple cause diagrams are used to explore events and states: why something has happened, or why a situation is as it is. Some examples are shown here.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 2&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Multiple cause diagrams can help you to untangle the web of interconnected causes that combine to precipitate an event, or to perpetuate or exacerbate a situation.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 3&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Often the aim is to identify possible points of intervention: to ensure that the event doesn’t recur, or to change the situation.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 4&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;For example using this diagram, you might decide that reducing the number of lorries on the roads would be a good way to cut congestion, because the lorries contribute to congestion in two ways - both directly, and also because their wear on the roads makes repairs necessary.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 5&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;And having distinguished two independent causes of the number of lorries on the roads, you might decide that you are more likely to be able to effect the distances that goods travel than the volume of goods transported.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 6&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Mapping the situation out in this way not only helps you to develop your understanding, but also to explain it to someone else. If their reasoning differs from yours, they can extend or amend the diagram to show you why.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 7&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;The points of intervention worth considering will depend on your involvement in the situation, as well as your reason for exploring it. For example, different government departments would be likely to focus on the issues of public transport, physical exercise, employment and road haulage. But a government that practiced ‘joined up thinking’ would also be likely to stand back and look at the big picture in this way, to ensure that changes to one aspect didn’t have unintended consequences for some other aspect.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;/Transcript&gt;&lt;/MediaContent&gt;"?>
                </Activity>
                <Paragraph>Click on <olink targetdoc="Multiple cause diagram">multiple cause diagram </olink>to see the description of the animated tutorial.</Paragraph>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Cognitive mapping</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Table>
                    <TableHead/>
                    <tbody>
                        <tr>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">I will use this type of diagramming</th>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">… when I want to:</th>
                            <th class="ColumnHeadLeft">Examples of use</th>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td><Figure> <Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/cognitive_icon.jpg" webthumbnail="false" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="c0cff8b2" x_imagesrc="cognitive_icon.jpg" x_imagewidth="90" x_imageheight="75"/> </Figure></td>
                            <td><BulletedList> <ListItem>reveal or illuminate patterns of reasoning about (or making sense of) a particular situation</ListItem> <ListItem>reach a decision about a particular option which will generate minimum negative consequences</ListItem> </BulletedList></td>
                            <td><BulletedList> <ListItem>To choose between various options for intervention in which the consequences of each option might not be immediately apparent.</ListItem> </BulletedList></td>
                        </tr>
                        <tr>
                            <td>There is no ‘What is …’ animation for cognitive mapping.</td>
                            <td/>
                            <td/>
                        </tr>
                    </tbody>
                </Table>
            </Section></Session><Session><Title>3 Using diagramming techniques to explore the WWP Case Study</Title><Paragraph>Diagramming techniques can be used to address some of the questions that might arise as you read the summary:</Paragraph><NumberedList class="decimal"><ListItem>How can I make sense of the issues and the context in which the programme is being implemented?</ListItem><ListItem>What are the main elements associated with WWP and what are the broad associations or relationships between these elements?</ListItem><ListItem>How can I look in more detail at the structure of the WWP? What elements (e.g., stakeholder groups) might be needed to implement the WWP? What other elements might lie outside the boundary of the WWP but might be very relevant to success or failure of the programme? What value might there be in focussing at different levels of interest (e.g. an individual WWP project, or more generalised strategies of agricultural development)?</ListItem><ListItem>How can I identify the factors that are key in building on the success of WWP?</ListItem><ListItem>What might support the continued success of WWP − or act as an obstacle? Where might an intervention take place and resources be deployed in order to encourage success and/or lessen any such obstacles?</ListItem><ListItem>What decisions need to be made in order to sustain the success of WWP? What might be the implications of such decisions and what assumptions are being made regarding previous decision making?</ListItem></NumberedList><Section id="sec003">
                <Title>3.1 Influence diagram</Title>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Definition</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>Influence diagrams identify the factors (structural features such as people and events) that have direct and indirect influence on a system and its environment. (See the definition of a systems map for an explanation of ‘system’.)</Paragraph>
                <Paragraph>Unlike a multiple cause diagram which traces change over time, influence diagrams identify factors with the capacity to influence at any particular point of time. An influence diagram is more like a systems map in providing a snapshot of a situation.</Paragraph>
                <Paragraph>Influence diagrams differentiate between two types of influences: strong influences and weak influences.</Paragraph>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Use</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>Influence diagrams are used to:</Paragraph>
                <BulletedList>
                    <ListItem>present an overview of areas of activity, groupings of people or other organisational features relevant to the situation or issue under consideration (the system of interest)</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>express a broad view of how things are interrelated in the area you are considering</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>explore interrelationships, perhaps leading to re-grouping and re-definition of a system and its components.</ListItem>
                </BulletedList>
                <Paragraph>An influence diagram is particularly useful as a tool for communication − as a means of sharing or exchanging perspectives or views on a particular situation during initial stages of negotiation and collaborative planning.</Paragraph>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Diagram components</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Figure id="figu002">
                    <Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/influence_bigicon.jpg" webthumbnail="false" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="338f6b07" x_imagesrc="influence_bigicon.jpg" x_imagewidth="198" x_imageheight="153"/>
                    <Caption>Figure 1 Format of an influence diagram</Caption>
                    <Alternative>Figure 1 Format of an influence diagram</Alternative>
                </Figure>
                <BulletedList>
                    <ListItem>Title: describing the factors of influence being represented by the diagram.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>System boundary (optional but recommended).</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Blobs of varying size.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Arrows, sometimes of different thickness.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Words labelling blobs.</ListItem>
                </BulletedList>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Conventions and guidelines</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>An influence diagram is made up of blobs and arrows. The real message of this type of representation emerges from the arrows. The main steps are:</Paragraph>
                <BulletedList>
                    <ListItem>Define the system of interest.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Use blobs to represent components (sub-systems).</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Use words to label components.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Use arrows to denote capacity to influence (not sequences in time).</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Use different line thickness (or colour) to indicate different influence strengths.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Do not use double-headed arrows. Influences between two components are rarely, if ever, truly reciprocal and of the same type. Where there is thought to be dynamic two-way influences, use two separate arrows pointing in opposite directions.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Use labels on arrows if the nature of the influence is not obvious from the context.</ListItem>
                </BulletedList>
                <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152759+0100" content="&lt;Activity&gt;&lt;Heading&gt;Activity 3 Animated tutorial 1&lt;/Heading&gt;&lt;Question&gt;&lt;Paragraph&gt;Watch the animated tutorial (click on ‘View’) below this paragraph to see how I built up my influence diagrams of the WWP. If you are still a bit unsure about what an influence diagram is you might like to view the optional animation, &lt;CrossRef idref=&quot;e0b9e4da-587d-49d4-b092-954161acf94e&quot;&gt;What is an influence diagram?&lt;/CrossRef&gt;, before viewing the WWP examples.&lt;/Paragraph&gt;&lt;/Question&gt;&lt;MediaContent height=&quot;500&quot; src=&quot;\\DCTM_FSS\content\Teaching and curriculum\Modules\Shared Resources\OpenLearn\TU875_1\1.0\influence.swf&quot; type=&quot;flash&quot; webthumbnail=&quot;true&quot; width=&quot;780&quot;&gt;&lt;Caption&gt;Animation 3&lt;/Caption&gt;&lt;Transcript&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;There are two approaches to creating an influence diagram. One way is to start from an existing systems map with established boundaries; the other is to start with a blank sheet and build up an influence diagram adding boundaries where appropriate. Both approaches are explored in this tutorial.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;I’ll start with a systems map of the WWP and see where the lines of influence might be drawn to transform it into an influence diagram.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;2&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Examining the four key sub-systems inside the boundary – these are components of the WWP – I began exploring where the key lines of influence might be.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;3&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Next I looked at the paths of influence that environmental factors had on the programme. Any environmental factor in a systems map by definition has an influence on the system of interest and can be affected by the system of interest. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; However, to avoid having too many arrows on the diagram, I chose not to include all the arrows in the final diagram except those I thought had a very significant influence. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;4&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Some influences from the environment might be associated with particular components or sub-systems. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;5&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; After adding in these arrows, I assigned different levels of influence to each relationship, emphasising relatively strong influences with thick arrows. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;6&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Looking at this diagram you might appreciate why influence diagrams are a useful tool for triggering debates between people with different perspectives on a situation. How do you respond to the diagram? What are the key areas of influence you disagree with? &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;7&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; I could try drawing more specific lines of influence between the various individual components of the sub-systems. However, doing this directly from a systems map is likely to end up being very messy. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; I can avoid any potential messiness using the second approach to influence diagramming. Starting with a blank sheet it allows you to explore the factors of influence in more detail, as well as letting you look at the situation from a different perspective. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;8&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Being free of preconceived boundaries and elements can sometimes be useful in exploring other influences and relationships. Influence diagrams can be established directly from knowledge about a particular area of interest. On a separate sheet of scrap paper, as a brainstorming exercise, I listed all possible structural factors relevant to the development of the programme. This might create far more structural factors than I can usefully work with. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page &lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;9&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; In looking at the key influences around WWP, I spotted the 240+ projects. These represent the key structural components of the programme. Having decided to focus on the projects, I began to think of the key influences on generating support for them. Clearly the support of the national government was paramount. But what influenced the provision of such government support? &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;0&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; The driving trigger of influence for WWP was ecosystem deterioration, in particular, the cultivation of invasive species. Given that much of the influence on the programme is mediated through the government, I began to think of the key factors of influence that would trigger government support. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; I then began to wonder what other factors would influence government support. Certainly, the relative costs and benefits of implementing WWP are critical (as shown by the ‘success’ of project implementation). But other factors were also thought to be important. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;2&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; It occurred to me that the prime success of WWP projects was influenced by the involvement of different agencies from different sectors. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;3&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Looking first at ecosystem deterioration and cultivation of invasive species blobs, I wondered what influences there were on the continuation of these features. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;4&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Looking at the series of blobs and arrows, I then explored which factors belonged in close association with the WWP’s remit of control, and which factors remained outside its control. Doing this helped me to establish the boundary of the WWP. Having done this I checked back with my original list of influence factors and discovered an omission. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;5&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Finally, I wanted to illustrate what I thought were particularly strong factors of influence. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;b&gt;6&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Like the first influence diagram, you might not agree with some of my judgements on key factors and their relative strengths and positions. If you were considering the WWP as an actual case for future intervention, you’d probably find it very useful to note down any contentious points. You could then ask other interested stakeholders to make similar notes, as a means of beginning to surface different perspectives. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Summary&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; (if not starting from a systems map) &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;1 Identify an issue on which to explore relevant influences and construct a title for your diagram.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;2 Define all the various influencing factors (including human agents or ‘actors’).&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;3 Position the various factors of direct influence within circles around the central issue.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;4 Position the factors of less direct influence within circles around the factors of more direct influence.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;5 Link the components of your diagram with relatively thick (strong influence) and thin (weak influence) arrows illustrating both the direction and strength of influence.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;6 If it helps, draw a boundary between those factors which can be controlled (factors inside the boundary) and those factors which cannot be controlled (outside the boundary; in the ‘environment’).&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;/Transcript&gt;&lt;/MediaContent&gt;&lt;/Activity&gt;"?>
                <Paragraph>Click on <olink targetdoc="WWP Influence diagram">WWP Influence diagram </olink>to see the description of the animated tutorial.</Paragraph>
            </Section><Section><Title>3.2 Final diagrams</Title><Paragraph>You may wish to refer back to the <CrossRef idref="v95db5f09-f2af-41e9-9954-cc66b0937640">WWP case study</CrossRef> as you work through the activity on this page.</Paragraph><Figure id="figu003"><Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/tu875_1_influence.jpg" webthumbnail="true" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="db427e7e" x_imagesrc="tu875_1_influence.jpg" x_imagewidth="780" x_imageheight="520" x_smallsrc="tu875_1_influence.small.jpg" x_smallfullsrc="https://openuniv.sharepoint.com/sites/informal-lrning/tu875_1/10/tu875_1_influence.small.jpg" x_smallwidth="511" x_smallheight="341"/><Caption>Figure 2 Influencing factors associated with WWP, diagram 1</Caption><Alternative>Figure 2 Influencing factors associated with WWP, diagram 1</Alternative></Figure><Paragraph><u>For a printable A4 size copy of this diagram,</u> click on ‘View document’.</Paragraph><InternalSection><Paragraph><olink targetdoc="tu875_1_influence">View document</olink></Paragraph></InternalSection><Figure id="figu004"><Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/tu875_1_influence2.jpg" webthumbnail="true" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="19900f55" x_imagesrc="tu875_1_influence2.jpg" x_imagewidth="780" x_imageheight="520" x_smallsrc="tu875_1_influence2.small.jpg" x_smallfullsrc="https://openuniv.sharepoint.com/sites/informal-lrning/tu875_1/10/tu875_1_influence2.small.jpg" x_smallwidth="511" x_smallheight="341"/><Caption>Figure 3 Influencing factors associated with WWP, diagram 2</Caption><Alternative>Figure 3 Influencing factors associated with WWP, diagram 2</Alternative></Figure><Paragraph>For a p<u>rintable A4 size copy of this diagram,</u> click on ‘View document’.</Paragraph><InternalSection><Paragraph><olink targetdoc="tu875_2_influence2">View document</olink></Paragraph></InternalSection><Activity id="act001"><Heading>Activity <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152811+0100" content="4"?><?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152811+0100"?>3<?oxy_insert_end?> Systems map</Heading><Question><Paragraph>Copy out or retrieve the systems map that you drew for the activity on systems mapping and sketch in arrows to indicate areas of strong and weak influences.</Paragraph><Paragraph>In addition, draw an influence diagram of one of the following starting from a blank sheet of paper:</Paragraph><NumberedList class="decimal"><ListItem>your impressions of key influences on the South African Working for Water Programme; or</ListItem><ListItem>another example of an intervention or event that you have personal experience of, or familiarity with, in relation to work or other areas of interest.</ListItem></NumberedList><Paragraph>Identify the key structural features of influence and arrange them clearly on your diagram. See if you can draw a boundary between structural features that might be components of the system of interest and elements that lie outside the immediate concerns of a system of interest. Distinguish between strong and weak lines of influence.</Paragraph><Paragraph>After completing your diagram, note the strong and weak influences associated with your diagram and write down brief notes on which structural features need attention in the event of further intervention.</Paragraph></Question></Activity></Section><Section id="sec004">
                <Title> 3.3 Multiple cause diagram </Title>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Definition</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>Multiple cause diagrams show the various causes of a certain event or situation and the relationships between the variables. They show causal chains of why something has occurred.</Paragraph>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Use</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>In development studies and development intervention a distinction is often usefully made between issues of structure and issues of agency. Spray diagrams, systems maps and influence diagrams focus on structural elements of a situation; sometimes including ‘agents’ or stakeholders but little or no detail on their precise ‘agency’. Multiple cause diagrams illustrate the agency (the process) of change. Various causes of a certain event or situation are represented, and relationships between variables in a given situation are investigated.</Paragraph>
                <Paragraph>A multiple cause diagram goes a step further than an influence diagram. Whereas an influence diagram describes the capacity of structural components to exert weak and strong influences at any one time, a multiple cause diagram specifically focuses on actual causes over a period of time. Tracing back the various causes of a problem - or contributors to a solution - can help to improve intervention. As well as showing the causes themselves, multiple cause diagrams show how they are interlinked.</Paragraph>
                <Paragraph>Multiple cause diagrams explore why something has happened (often why something went wrong) or why a situation is as it is (often why a problem recurs). They don’t predict behaviour, but can be used to create a checklist of factors (or variables) when considering comparable circumstances in the future.</Paragraph>
                <Paragraph>They can also be useful in identifying solutions to problems: for instance, having identified two possible points of intervention to avoid an event, the diagram might show that intervening at one of them is likely to be more effective.</Paragraph>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Diagram components</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Figure id="figu005">
                    <Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/multiple_bigicon.jpg" webthumbnail="false" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="df7f4a62" x_imagesrc="multiple_bigicon.jpg" x_imagewidth="152" x_imageheight="170"/>
                    <Caption>Figure 4 Format of a multiple cause diagram</Caption>
                    <Alternative>Figure 4 Format of a multiple cause diagram</Alternative>
                </Figure>
                <BulletedList>
                    <ListItem>A title explaining the event or state you are trying to explain. The diagram addresses the question: what caused this?</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Phrases depicting a state (e.g. impoverished community), a variable (something that has a value that can go up or down) relating to a state (e.g. poverty), or an event (e.g. implementation of structural adjustment programme or some form of armed intervention)</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Arrows depicting the direction of causality</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Chains or loops of causality.</ListItem>
                </BulletedList>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Conventions and guidelines</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>A multiple cause diagram looks a bit like an influence diagram. However, whereas the arrows in an influence diagram signal the capacity to influence at any one point of time (that is, in providing a snapshot), the arrows of a multiple cause diagram signal an actual path of causality over a sequence of time. In a multiple cause diagram:</Paragraph>
                <BulletedList>
                    <ListItem>A title is essential naming the prime factor or event being explored.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Begin at the factor/ event to be explained and work backwards. Start with the immediate (proximate) causes and move to more distant causes.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Phrases are used to relate either to a state, a variable or to an event. These cause, directly or indirectly, the main event we are looking at. It is not necessary to encircle phrases, although putting blobs around selected variables you wish to emphasise as being important, might improve clarity.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Arrows indicate the causal connections between the phrases. The arrows can mean ‘contributes to’, ‘leads to’ or ‘enables’. In general arrows are not labelled. However, it is acceptable to do so if you wish to add information about the type of causal connection where this is either not clear or actually misleading. For example drawing an arrow from ‘armed intervention’ to ‘poverty’ signals an affirmative causal link: armed conflict causes poverty! If you wished to argue that armed intervention had an opposite causal effect in a particular situation (i.e., armed intervention reduced poverty) it would be appropriate to label the arrow with ‘reduces’. In general, where an increase in one variable leads to a decrease in the second variable, a label on the arrow is required.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>The diagram can be sequential or it might contain loops.</ListItem>
                </BulletedList>
                <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152801+0100" content="&lt;Activity&gt;&lt;Heading&gt;Activity 5 Animated tutorial 2&lt;/Heading&gt;&lt;Question&gt;&lt;Paragraph&gt;Watch the animated tutorial (click on ‘View’) below this paragraph to see how I built up my multiple cause diagram of the WWP. If you are still a bit unsure about what a multiple cause diagram is you might like to view the optional animation, &lt;CrossRef idref=&quot;e0b9e4da-587d-49d4-b092-954161acf94e&quot;&gt;What is a multiple cause diagram?&lt;/CrossRef&gt;, before viewing the WWP examples.&lt;/Paragraph&gt;&lt;/Question&gt;&lt;MediaContent height=&quot;500&quot; src=&quot;\\DCTM_FSS\content\Teaching and curriculum\Modules\Shared Resources\OpenLearn\TU875_1\1.0\multiple.swf&quot; type=&quot;flash&quot; webthumbnail=&quot;true&quot; width=&quot;780&quot;&gt;&lt;Caption&gt;Animation 4&lt;/Caption&gt;&lt;Transcript&gt;&lt;Heading&gt;Multiple cause diagram animated tutorial&lt;/Heading&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;The WWP summary suggests many factors or events which might act as starting points for tracing paths of causality and consequence. Examples include the spread of invasive species to South Africa, water conflicts, ecosystem degeneration, and post-apartheid policy on natural resources. You can probably think of others. Each example would provide a very rich and interesting source for exploration, but I’d need more information in order to generate meaningful multiple cause diagrams.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 2&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;You also need to be cautious in assigning factors as being causal rather than simply influential. Claims of causality often require more information or evidence. This is why influence diagramming is often considered as providing ‘safer ground’ for mapping. In developing the multiple cause diagram we’ll explore the causes and consequences associated with the implementation of the WWP. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 3&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; The first task is to identify the immediate causes for the implementation of the programme. These appear to relate to economic, social, political and ecological drivers associated with post-apartheid South Africa . &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 4&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; It’s then possible to trace back further causal factors associated with each of the immediate causes. The spread of invasive species seems to be particularly important and so I’ve encircled it. Another key factor for the WWP is the availability of government resources to support the programme. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 5&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;After tracing the direct and indirect lines of causality, it’s then possible to begin identifying the immediate and less immediate consequences of the programme. Job creation, as well as environmental protection, are perhaps the most important consequences for the programme.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 6&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Next it’s possible to explore how some of the variables affect each other to generate feedback loops. There are two types of these. Firstly, reinforcing feedback loops where variable change triggers a cycle of reinforcing change. For example, ‘implementation of WWP’ leads to ‘improved biodiversity…’ which leads to ‘availability of government resources’ which again leads to further implementation of WWP. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 7&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;A second type of feedback loop is where change in one variable in the loop leads to an opposite change in the next variable. The resultant ‘loop’ signals an opposing change. These loops consist of arrows that might require labelling. For example, the rising costs of implementing WWP may inhibit further investment. Other oppositional changes and loops might be identified by adding the verb ‘reduces’ on a causal link.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 8&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;On a multiple cause diagram, it’s the loops that provide important clues as to where intervention might be appropriate. For example, the loop from WWP to ‘revenue from…’ to ‘development of rural economy’ to ‘availability…’ back to WWP suggests that strategies to increase revenue from clearance products might be a useful point of intervention.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 9&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;I went through a number of versions and lots of scrap paper before achieving my final diagram. One of my earlier sketches is shown here. There are a number of difficulties with this version. First, there are lines crossing, which make it difficult to read.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;I then had to try and arrange the elements of the diagram to avoid any possible confusion.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;The diagram is also too congested with too many variables. One way to deal with this is to identify variables that might be of a similar type and to cluster them together.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;Whilst removing some variables, it also struck me that other important variables were missing.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 10&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;In drafting a multiple cause diagram you need to think about presentational issues, such as avoiding crossed lines and having too many variables. You also need to think about substantive issues. Are all the key variables present? Are some variables less important? Check if any variables can be removed.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Are the suggested variables perhaps more of ‘influence’ rather than ‘cause’? Make sure the causal links are clear to you or to others. Looking at the final draft, what questions occur to you about the presentational aspects? How might you present different variables? What about the substantive elements? For example, which feedback loop is particularly important as a possible focus for future intervention to improve the success of WWP? &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Summary&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;1 Identify the &lt;i&gt;event&lt;/i&gt; to be explored and write this down on lower half of paper.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;2 Note the various direct &lt;i&gt;immediate agencies&lt;/i&gt; of change (variables or other ‘events’) that brought about the event using arrows to indicate causal connections.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;3 Trace indirect &lt;i&gt;less-immediate agencies&lt;/i&gt; of change as sub-causes by continually working backwards from the main event.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;4 Similarly, explore any &lt;i&gt;consequences&lt;/i&gt; (either intended or unintended) arising from the chosen event and map these out as variables/ events on your diagram.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;5 Identify and indicate with arrows whether variables/ events might be causally &lt;i&gt;interconnected&lt;/i&gt;. Label any arrows that have an inhibiting or reducing effect.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;6 &lt;i&gt;Encircle&lt;/i&gt; those variables or events that you feel are particularly significant.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;7 Identify any &lt;i&gt;causal loops&lt;/i&gt; either inhibiting or reinforcing activities shown on your diagram.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;/Transcript&gt;&lt;/MediaContent&gt;&lt;/Activity&gt;"?>
                <Paragraph>Click on <olink targetdoc="WWP multiple cause diagram">WWP multiple cause diagram </olink>to see the description of the animated tutorial.</Paragraph>
            </Section><Section><Title>3.4 Final diagram</Title><Paragraph>You may wish to refer back to the <CrossRef idref="v95db5f09-f2af-41e9-9954-cc66b0937640">WWP case study</CrossRef> as you work through the activity on this page.</Paragraph><Figure id="figu006"><Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/tu875_1_multiple.jpg" webthumbnail="true" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="17a2d8ec" x_imagesrc="tu875_1_multiple.jpg" x_imagewidth="780" x_imageheight="520" x_smallsrc="tu875_1_multiple.small.jpg" x_smallfullsrc="https://openuniv.sharepoint.com/sites/informal-lrning/tu875_1/10/tu875_1_multiple.small.jpg" x_smallwidth="511" x_smallheight="341"/><Caption>Figure 5 Causal factors associated with implementing WWP</Caption><Alternative>Figure 5 Causal factors associated with implementing WWP</Alternative></Figure><Paragraph>For a p<u>rintable A4 size copy of this diagram,</u> click on ‘View document’.</Paragraph><InternalSection><Paragraph><olink targetdoc="tu875_1_multiple">View document</olink></Paragraph></InternalSection><Activity><Heading>Activity <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152815+0100" content="6"?><?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152815+0100"?>4<?oxy_insert_end?> Construct a multiple cause diagram</Heading><Question><Paragraph>Choose one of the following.</Paragraph><NumberedList class="decimal"><ListItem>Choose an event associated with the South African Working for Water Programme (you could choose the ‘implementation of WWP’ as in the animated tutorial, or something a little different as a starting point, like ‘review of WWP’ or ‘cultivation of invasive species’ etc.)</ListItem><ListItem>Choose a particularly significant event, such as an implementation of a programme of institutional change or the outbreak of violent conflict, which you are familiar with.</ListItem></NumberedList><Paragraph>Construct a multiple cause diagram following the guidelines below.</Paragraph><BulletedList><ListItem>Trace the various agencies of change that brought about the event.</ListItem><ListItem>Explore any consequences (either intended or unintended) arising from the chosen event and map these out as variables/ events on your diagram.</ListItem><ListItem>Encircle those variables or events that you feel are particularly significant.</ListItem><ListItem>Explore any interconnections between variables on your diagram.</ListItem><ListItem>Try and identify any causal loops either inhibiting or reinforcing activities shown on your diagram.</ListItem></BulletedList><Paragraph>Examine your final diagram and make short notes of where significant points of intervention might be identified to ensure action to promote or prevent the event being examined.</Paragraph></Question></Activity></Section><Section id="sec005">
                <Title><?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T153723+0100" content=" "?>3.5 Cognitive map </Title>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Definition</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>A cognitive map indicates the nature of the beliefs held about a problem. Although primarily used to capture individual patterns of reasoning, cognitive mapping can also be used in groups as a means of sharing understandings of a situation.</Paragraph>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Use</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>Cognitive mapping provides a visual language for setting down thoughts about a problem situation as an ordered network of understandings in order to enable improved decision making. It was originally devised by Colin Eden and colleagues in 1983.</Paragraph>
                <Paragraph>There are several practical situations in which cognitive mapping can be useful:</Paragraph>
                <BulletedList>
                    <ListItem>for structuring, analysing and making sense of verbal or documented accounts of problems</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>as an interviewing device for (1) structuring an agenda for an interview, (2) as a note-taking method during the course of an interview, thereby acting as a prompt for further questions, and/or (3) interpreting transcripts of interviews in a way that promotes analysis, questioning and understanding of the data</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>facilitating group discussions by enabling individual members to see their lines of reasoning in the context of others, thereby improving mutual understandings and the search for possible alternative options</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>supporting decision-makers in making explicit subconscious values and possible consequences associated with particular decisions.</ListItem>
                </BulletedList>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Diagram components</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Figure id="figu007">
                    <Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/cognitive_bigicon.jpg" webthumbnail="false" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="84a24ac3" x_imagesrc="cognitive_bigicon.jpg" x_imagewidth="198" x_imageheight="152"/>
                    <Caption>Figure 6 Format of a cognitive map</Caption>
                    <Alternative>Figure 6 Format of a cognitive map</Alternative>
                </Figure>
                <BulletedList>
                    <ListItem>Title: describing the core ‘problem situation’ being explored.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Bipolar constructs. These are phrases which represent an action item on one pole and a contrasting action item on the other. The two poles of a construct are separated by three dots (which mean ‘rather than’). The diagram conventions and guidelines give some examples.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Hierarchical template (optional though recommended) dividing the network of constructs between three levels of decision making (from top to bottom): (1) general ideals or ‘goals’  (2) ‘strategic directions’ , and (3) more specific ‘potential options’.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Arrows between different phrases. All the arrows generally follow upwards hence contributing to a map with action items being linked from ‘potential options’ towards higher level ‘goals’. The head of each arrow ought to point directly to the three dots in the bipolar construct if possible.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Plus or minus signs on the arrows. These indicate the nature of the link between constructs. A plus (+) sign indicates that the first pole of the ‘tail’ construct leads to the first pole of the ‘head’ construct (and similarly for the second poles); a minus (−) sign indicates that the reverse is the case, and that the first pole of the ‘tail’ construct leads to the second pole of the ‘head’ construct (and vice versa). Where there are no signs present, you can assume that all the links are positive.</ListItem>
                </BulletedList>
                <InternalSection>
                    <Heading>Diagram conventions</Heading>
                </InternalSection>
                <Paragraph>A cognitive map is made up of bipolar phrases and arrows. The main steps are:</Paragraph>
                <NumberedList class="decimal">
                    <ListItem>Define the core problem situation in terms of a title for the map.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Translate the problem situation in terms of an action item. If you are interpreting a text describing a problem situation in order to understand the reasoning of the author or main players in the situation being described, you might find it useful to first list down as many action items as you can think of which are associated with the text.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Devise the first pole of your first bipolar construct. For example, if the problem situation is centred on issues of unco-ordinated governance, you might simply write this down as ‘improve integration of governance structures’. For the second pole, simply write down the contrasting item to the first pole; an alternative thought on the subject, for example ‘do not improve integration of governance structures’. Both poles of the construct are separated by three dots (which mean ‘rather than’). This is the seed construct from which your cognitive map will grow.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Ask yourself what you believe this situation (or its contrast) will lead to. This activity is a type of ‘forecasting’ exercise. If you are interpreting someone’s text or transcript, review the imperatives originally listed and choose those which would follow more as a direct consequence from original construct. There may be a number of implications which you should set down separately as consequential constructs using the bipolar notation described above.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Draw an arrow between the ‘tail’ construct (that is, the original bipolar construct) and each of the new ‘head’ (consequential) constructs, ensuring that the arrow head points near to the three dots within the construct. The arrows between the phrases thus closely resemble the function of arrows on a multiple cause diagram.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Ask the same question about the next level of consequences for each of the implications identified, and follow any chains of argument as far as you feel you are able, continuing to use the same notation.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Return to the initial seed construct and ask yourself about its antecedents; what action item(s) is (are) required in order to bring about this original action? This activity represents a type of ‘backcasting’ exercise. Again, continue along this downward path of reasoning until you have a set of constructs providing more precisely defined ‘potential options’.</ListItem>
                    <ListItem>Some cognitive maps have arrows with signs attached to them. These indicate the nature of the link between the tail and head constructs. A plus (+) sign indicates that the first pole of the ‘tail’ construct leads to the first pole of ‘head’ construct (and similarly the second pole of the ‘tail’ leads to the second pole of the ‘head’). Most diagrams are drawn so that all the constructs are linked in this way. In such cases there is no need to attach a sign to the arrow. In some diagrams you may find minus (-) signs on some arrows. This indicates a reversal in that the first pole of the ‘tail’ construct leads to the second pole of ‘head’ construct (and similarly the second pole of the ‘tail’ leads to the first pole of the ‘head’).</ListItem>
                </NumberedList>
                <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152804+0100" content="&lt;Activity&gt;&lt;Heading&gt;Activity 7 Animated tutorial 3&lt;/Heading&gt;&lt;Question&gt;&lt;Paragraph&gt;Watch the animated tutorial (click on ‘View’) below this paragraph. The tutorial will build a cognitive map to show the various factors affecting decision making associated with the WWP. Click on the arrows to flip the pages.&lt;/Paragraph&gt;&lt;/Question&gt;&lt;MediaContent height=&quot;500&quot; src=&quot;\\DCTM_FSS\content\Teaching and curriculum\Modules\Shared Resources\OpenLearn\TU875_1\1.0\cognitive.swf&quot; type=&quot;flash&quot; webthumbnail=&quot;true&quot; width=&quot;780&quot;&gt;&lt;Caption&gt;Animation 5&lt;/Caption&gt;&lt;Transcript&gt;&lt;Heading&gt; Cognitive map animated tutorial &lt;/Heading&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 1&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Cognitive mapping explicitly maps out how someone thinks about a particular issue or problem. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; It needs to be clear from the beginning whose perspective is being mapped. For example, the mapper might attempt to capture the perspective of one individual, either directly through an interview or more indirectly, for instance through a journal article or report. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; In such cases, the mapper must record as precisely as possible the actual words used by the subject and re-use these in the individual constructs that make up the cognitive map. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Alternatively, the mapper might record their own perspective on a particular situation. Again, this might be done directly by recording actual experiences of a working situation, or indirectly through interpreting a situation from their own perspective. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; The cognitive map that follows is based on my interpretation of the Working for Water Programme and how the programme might – given the costs of implementation – be sustained in an economy with competing claims on finances. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 2&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; The ‘seed’ construct I came up was ‘continue support for WWP’ separated by three dots from its opposite statement ‘end support’. The title and seed construct reflects a problem situation from my perspective as an interested observer. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; While I’ve used some of the words and phrases from the WWP summary sheet, they are my interpretation rather than the original author’s. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 3&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Having identified a key problem and translated it into terms of an ‘action item’, I reviewed the summary sheet and wrote down a number of relevant action items. I then transformed each action item into a construct. An opposing or contrary action statement can also be identified. Each construct can then be written on bits of paper which can easily be moved about as the map develops. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Another sheet was used to show the hierarchy of decision making. The seed construct was placed first in the upper-middle part of ‘strategic directions’. Then I explored where to place the other constructs relative to the initial seed construct. In the rest of this tutorial, I’ll go through this process in a little more detail with respect to my own thoughts on WWP. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 4&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; To begin with, I wanted to explore the consequences of providing further support to the programme. This was fairly straightforward. I simply reiterated its ecological and socio-political goals. I also thought about what needed to happen between these goals and the seed construct and how that affected the decision on whether to continue support for WWP. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 5&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; It occurred to me that there was need for sustaining the jobs being created and skills being taught in order to realise the longer term goal of improving economic and social well-being of black South Africans. Clearly, the control of invasive species actually might work against long-term sustainability of jobs, as the jobs created are dependent on there being invasive species. Therefore, this is a negative link, so the arrow has a minus sign. Also, it seemed the programme has an impact by having influence on relevant areas of policy making. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 6&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Next, I wanted to explore the action items required to bring about the original seed action. Two important threads of action emerged. Firstly, the need for publicising the strengths and opportunities of WWP, particularly as a multiagency programme. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 7&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; In order for the programme to justify its expenditure, a second thread of action needs to make explicit some of the concerns against the programme. Recognising weaknesses of a programme or proposed course of intervention inevitably leads to a reduction in the support for the programme or intervention. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; However, a minus sign might be misplaced, as any support for an intervention needs to recognise the threats and other potential pitfalls as well as actual costs involved. Failure to recognise such weaknesses can often result in the failure of programmes or interventions. I think the minus sign here ought to be removed. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; However, this thread does suggest an alternative, more limited programme, one that simply deals with combating invasive species, and perhaps uses technology as a less labour-intensive form of intervention. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 8&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Working through the actions required to bring about these strategic goals, one obvious option would be to commission an independent expert-driven impact study to demonstrate the economic, social and biophysical value of WWP to date. This could also be used to uncover some of the real concerns and possible negative consequences regarding the continuation of the programme. Decisions about funding support and identifying appropriate forms of expertise are then needed. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; The reference terms of the study would have to include consultation with those people who may be against the programme. Such an exercise would also benefit general programme management. I also identified other types of operational action items with respect to the strategic directions. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 9&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; A cognitive map often turns out to be quite dense with words. In such cases, it might be better to use abbreviations and include a key. Drawing a cognitive map is perhaps one of the most messy mapping techniques, not least because of the space required. Very often you find the map becomes over-burdened with constructs, and you need to group constructs together or remove the less useful ones. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Sometimes, particular constructs might stand out as being in need of further analysis. Here the construct ‘sustain job security … do not sustain’ appears to need further analysis, particularly in exploring the action items required to bring this about. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Similarly the construct concerning the decision on whether or not to commission an impact study of the programme might itself be a seed construct for a further cognitive map. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Page 10&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; Looking at the final diagram, you can appreciate that cognitive mapping has subjective elements to it. However, all mapping techniques have subjective elements because they’re done from the mapper’s perspective. A significant exception is when a cognitive mapper is directly recording another person’s thought processes as they are spoken. The value of cognitive mapping is in revealing or making explicit these thought processes and drawing out and questioning their implications. &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt; &lt;b&gt;Summary&lt;/b&gt; &lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;1 Identify a &lt;i&gt;key decision&lt;/i&gt; around which to construct your cognitive map.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;2 Devise a &lt;i&gt;construct&lt;/i&gt; around the key decision (your seed construct).&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;3 Demarcate between &lt;i&gt;three levels&lt;/i&gt; of planning (from top to bottom): goals (ideals); strategic options (objectives); and potential options (tasks). Place your seed construct towards upper part of ‘strategic options’.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;4 Trace the immediate and less immediate implications (goal-orientation) of your seed construct in terms of the consequences of the decision, creating further constructs and arrows between them for each perceived consequence (i.e. &lt;i&gt;forecasting&lt;/i&gt;).&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;5 Trace what actions are required in order to bring about the decision being made and represent these actions as constructs underneath your seed construct (i.e. &lt;i&gt;backcasting&lt;/i&gt;).&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;Remark&gt;6 Ensure that for each arrow link the first pole of tail construct leads to first pole of head construct. If not put in a &lt;i&gt;minus sign&lt;/i&gt; on the arrow.&lt;/Remark&gt;&lt;/Transcript&gt;&lt;/MediaContent&gt;&lt;/Activity&gt;"?>
                <Paragraph>Click on <olink targetdoc="WWP cognitive map">WWP cognitive map </olink>to see the description of the animated tutorial.</Paragraph>
            </Section><Section><Title>3.6 Final diagram</Title><Paragraph>You may wish to refer back to the <CrossRef idref="v95db5f09-f2af-41e9-9954-cc66b0937640">WWP case study</CrossRef> as you work through the activity on this page.</Paragraph><Figure id="figu008"><Image alt="" height="" src="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/pluginfile.php/131857/mod_oucontent/oucontent/3500/cognitive_1.jpg" webthumbnail="true" width="100%" x_folderhash="10aef238" x_contenthash="35975520" x_imagesrc="cognitive_1.jpg" x_imagewidth="598" x_imageheight="398" x_smallsrc="cognitive_1.small.jpg" x_smallfullsrc="https://openuniv.sharepoint.com/sites/informal-lrning/tu875_1/10/cognitive_1.small.jpg" x_smallwidth="512" x_smallheight="340"/><Caption>Figure 7 Decision making associated with continued support for WWP</Caption><Alternative>Figure 7 Decision making associated with continued support for WWP</Alternative></Figure><Paragraph>For a p<u>rintable A4 size copy of this diagram,</u> click on ‘View document’.</Paragraph><InternalSection><Paragraph><olink targetdoc="cognitive_final">View document</olink></Paragraph></InternalSection><Activity id="act003"><Heading>Activity <?oxy_delete author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152819+0100" content="8"?><?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T152819+0100"?>5<?oxy_insert_end?> Construct a cognitive map</Heading><Question><Paragraph>Either:</Paragraph><NumberedList class="decimal"><ListItem>Choose an issue associated with the South African Working for Water Programme around which a decision is required. This can be the same as used in the animated tutorial (decision on whether to continue support for WWP) or you can explore a different issue that might have arisen from other diagramming activities, for example, a ‘decision on implementing inter-sectoral collaboration’.</ListItem><ListItem>Choose an issue where a particularly important decision was made or required in order to carry out an intervention. The issue you choose can either relate to your own experience or to what you have already studied in this unit.</ListItem></NumberedList><Paragraph>Construct a cognitive map following the guidelines below.</Paragraph><BulletedList><ListItem>Devise a bipolar construct around the key decision.</ListItem><ListItem>Distinguish between three levels of planning (from bottom to top): goals (ideals); strategic options (objectives); and potential options (tasks).</ListItem><ListItem>Trace the immediate and less immediate implications (goal-orientation) in terms of consequences of the decision, constructing bipolar constructs for each perceived consequence (i.e. forecasting).</ListItem><ListItem>Ask yourself what (task-oriented) actions are required in order to bring about the decision being made. (i.e. backcasting) and represent these actions as bipolar constructs on your cognitive map.</ListItem><ListItem>Ensure that your links between bipolar constructs are logically constituted (first pole of tail construct leads to first pole of head construct). If not put in a minus sign on the arrow.</ListItem></BulletedList><Paragraph>Examine your cognitive map and note down the key and possibly contentious assumptions relating to different parts of the decision making process, and implications with regards to immediate actions required to progress the interventions.</Paragraph></Question></Activity></Section></Session><Session>
            <Title>Conclusion</Title>
            <Paragraph>In this unit you have been introduced to influence diagrams, multiple cause diagrams and cognitive maps. You have seen how they can help with analysing complex situations by organising your thoughts, particularly thoughts on inter-relationships and interdependencies amongst different factors associated with complex situations. The systems diagramming techniques here help towards analysing inter-related factors in a visual manner that can help communicate ideas to others, possibly across different cultures, in circumstances where the right words can be hard to find to establish the shared understanding needed to enable more meaningful dialogue. Influence diagrams, multiple cause diagrams and cognitive maps can help personal reflection and diagnosis of complex issues, revealing significant challenges as well as opportunities for intervention.</Paragraph>
            <?oxy_insert_start author="sm36828" timestamp="20240617T163108+0100"?>
            <Paragraph>This is a companion course to <a href="https://www.open.edu/openlearn/digital-computing/diagramming-development-1-bounding-realities/content-section-0?active-tab=description-tab">Diagramming for development 1: bounding realities</a>.</Paragraph>
            <Paragraph>This OpenLearn course provides a sample of level 3 study in <a href="https://www.open.ac.uk/courses/computing-it">Computing and IT courses</a>.</Paragraph>
            <?oxy_insert_end?>
        </Session><Session id="__acknowledgements"><Title>Acknowledgements</Title><Paragraph>Grateful acknowledgement is made to the following sources for permission to reproduce material in this unit:</Paragraph><Paragraph>Dr Martin Reynolds (lead academic author)</Paragraph><Paragraph>Wendy Fisher (author of the WWP ‘rich picture’)</Paragraph><Paragraph>Jane Bromley (interactive media developer)</Paragraph><Paragraph>Karen Shipp and the OU Systems Group for animations in ‘2.1: When to use each diagram.’ These animations form part of T552 <i>Systems thinking and practice: Diagramming</i> from which much of the diagramming source material for this unit was derived. T552 is a diagramming pack which supported modules in the undergraduate Systems Diploma and Systems Residential School and supports modules in the postgraduate <a href="http://www3.open.ac.uk/study/postgraduate/qualification/f47.htm">Systems Thinking in Practice</a> qualifications. Further details of this pack and associated Systems courses can be found at the <a href="http://systems.open.ac.uk">Open University’s Systems Group website</a>.</Paragraph><Paragraph>U316 <i>The environmental web</i> from which the spray diagram tutorial and WWP case study are derived.</Paragraph><Paragraph>Particular thanks are also due to Sandrine Simone, Gloria Median, Bina Sharma and Rissa de la Paz.</Paragraph><Paragraph>United Nations via Flickr: the original can be seen at http://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/3839892431 [Details correct as of 17 November 2011]</Paragraph><Paragraph>Except for third party materials and otherwise stated (see <a href="http://www.open.ac.uk/conditions">terms and conditions</a>), this content is made available under a <a href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/4.0/">Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 2.0 Licence</a>.</Paragraph><Paragraph>Every effort has been made to contact copyright holders. If any have been inadvertently overlooked, the publishers will be pleased to make the necessary arrangements at the first opportunity.</Paragraph><Paragraph><b>Don’t miss out:</b></Paragraph><Paragraph>If reading this text has inspired you to learn more, you may be interested in joining the millions of people who discover our free learning resources and qualifications by visiting The Open University - <a href="http://www.open.edu/openlearn/free-courses?utm_source=openlearn&amp;utm_campaign=ol&amp;utm_medium=ebook">www.open.edu/openlearn/free-courses</a></Paragraph></Session></Unit><BackMatter/><settings>
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