{\rtf1\adeflang1025\ansi\ansicpg1252\uc1\adeff31507\deff0\stshfdbch31506\stshfloch31506\stshfhich31506\stshfbi31507\deflang2057\deflangfe2057\themelang2057\themelangfe0\themelangcs0{\fonttbl{\f0\fbidi \froman\fcharset0\fprq2{\*\panose 02020603050405020304}Times New Roman;}{\f34\fbidi \froman\fcharset1\fprq2{\*\panose 02040503050406030204}Cambria Math;}
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{\f43\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Times New Roman Greek;}{\f44\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Times New Roman Tur;}{\f45\fbidi \froman\fcharset177\fprq2 Times New Roman (Hebrew);}{\f46\fbidi \froman\fcharset178\fprq2 Times New Roman (Arabic);}
{\f47\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Times New Roman Baltic;}{\f48\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Times New Roman (Vietnamese);}{\f400\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Cambria CE;}{\f401\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Cambria Cyr;}
{\f403\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Cambria Greek;}{\f404\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Cambria Tur;}{\f407\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Cambria Baltic;}{\f408\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Cambria (Vietnamese);}
{\flomajor\f31508\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Times New Roman CE;}{\flomajor\f31509\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Times New Roman Cyr;}{\flomajor\f31511\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Times New Roman Greek;}
{\flomajor\f31512\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Times New Roman Tur;}{\flomajor\f31513\fbidi \froman\fcharset177\fprq2 Times New Roman (Hebrew);}{\flomajor\f31514\fbidi \froman\fcharset178\fprq2 Times New Roman (Arabic);}
{\flomajor\f31515\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Times New Roman Baltic;}{\flomajor\f31516\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Times New Roman (Vietnamese);}{\fdbmajor\f31518\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Times New Roman CE;}
{\fdbmajor\f31519\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Times New Roman Cyr;}{\fdbmajor\f31521\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Times New Roman Greek;}{\fdbmajor\f31522\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Times New Roman Tur;}
{\fdbmajor\f31523\fbidi \froman\fcharset177\fprq2 Times New Roman (Hebrew);}{\fdbmajor\f31524\fbidi \froman\fcharset178\fprq2 Times New Roman (Arabic);}{\fdbmajor\f31525\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Times New Roman Baltic;}
{\fdbmajor\f31526\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Times New Roman (Vietnamese);}{\fhimajor\f31528\fbidi \fswiss\fcharset238\fprq2 Calibri CE;}{\fhimajor\f31529\fbidi \fswiss\fcharset204\fprq2 Calibri Cyr;}
{\fhimajor\f31531\fbidi \fswiss\fcharset161\fprq2 Calibri Greek;}{\fhimajor\f31532\fbidi \fswiss\fcharset162\fprq2 Calibri Tur;}{\fhimajor\f31535\fbidi \fswiss\fcharset186\fprq2 Calibri Baltic;}
{\fhimajor\f31536\fbidi \fswiss\fcharset163\fprq2 Calibri (Vietnamese);}{\fbimajor\f31538\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Times New Roman CE;}{\fbimajor\f31539\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Times New Roman Cyr;}
{\fbimajor\f31541\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Times New Roman Greek;}{\fbimajor\f31542\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Times New Roman Tur;}{\fbimajor\f31543\fbidi \froman\fcharset177\fprq2 Times New Roman (Hebrew);}
{\fbimajor\f31544\fbidi \froman\fcharset178\fprq2 Times New Roman (Arabic);}{\fbimajor\f31545\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Times New Roman Baltic;}{\fbimajor\f31546\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Times New Roman (Vietnamese);}
{\flominor\f31548\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Times New Roman CE;}{\flominor\f31549\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Times New Roman Cyr;}{\flominor\f31551\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Times New Roman Greek;}
{\flominor\f31552\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Times New Roman Tur;}{\flominor\f31553\fbidi \froman\fcharset177\fprq2 Times New Roman (Hebrew);}{\flominor\f31554\fbidi \froman\fcharset178\fprq2 Times New Roman (Arabic);}
{\flominor\f31555\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Times New Roman Baltic;}{\flominor\f31556\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Times New Roman (Vietnamese);}{\fdbminor\f31558\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Times New Roman CE;}
{\fdbminor\f31559\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Times New Roman Cyr;}{\fdbminor\f31561\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Times New Roman Greek;}{\fdbminor\f31562\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Times New Roman Tur;}
{\fdbminor\f31563\fbidi \froman\fcharset177\fprq2 Times New Roman (Hebrew);}{\fdbminor\f31564\fbidi \froman\fcharset178\fprq2 Times New Roman (Arabic);}{\fdbminor\f31565\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Times New Roman Baltic;}
{\fdbminor\f31566\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Times New Roman (Vietnamese);}{\fhiminor\f31568\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Cambria CE;}{\fhiminor\f31569\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Cambria Cyr;}
{\fhiminor\f31571\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Cambria Greek;}{\fhiminor\f31572\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Cambria Tur;}{\fhiminor\f31575\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Cambria Baltic;}
{\fhiminor\f31576\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Cambria (Vietnamese);}{\fbiminor\f31578\fbidi \froman\fcharset238\fprq2 Times New Roman CE;}{\fbiminor\f31579\fbidi \froman\fcharset204\fprq2 Times New Roman Cyr;}
{\fbiminor\f31581\fbidi \froman\fcharset161\fprq2 Times New Roman Greek;}{\fbiminor\f31582\fbidi \froman\fcharset162\fprq2 Times New Roman Tur;}{\fbiminor\f31583\fbidi \froman\fcharset177\fprq2 Times New Roman (Hebrew);}
{\fbiminor\f31584\fbidi \froman\fcharset178\fprq2 Times New Roman (Arabic);}{\fbiminor\f31585\fbidi \froman\fcharset186\fprq2 Times New Roman Baltic;}{\fbiminor\f31586\fbidi \froman\fcharset163\fprq2 Times New Roman (Vietnamese);}}
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Table Grid;}}{\*\rsidtbl \rsid204323\rsid1924392\rsid1998830\rsid2781732\rsid3503628\rsid3815815\rsid3891632\rsid4215240\rsid4811500\rsid5124437\rsid5460440\rsid5855038\rsid6429728\rsid7223140\rsid7755140\rsid7802835\rsid8130460\rsid8921735\rsid8986100
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\mwrapRight1\mintLim0\mnaryLim0}{\info{\author Jessica Watson}{\operator  }{\creatim\yr2012\mo3\dy7\hr11\min47}{\revtim\yr2012\mo3\dy7\hr11\min47}{\version2}{\edmins0}{\nofpages10}{\nofwords2597}{\nofchars14803}{\*\company University of Durham}
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{\*\pnseclvl7\pnlcrm\pnstart1\pnindent720\pnhang {\pntxtb (}{\pntxta )}}{\*\pnseclvl8\pnlcltr\pnstart1\pnindent720\pnhang {\pntxtb (}{\pntxta )}}{\*\pnseclvl9\pnlcrm\pnstart1\pnindent720\pnhang {\pntxtb (}{\pntxta )}}\pard\plain \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0\pararsid14886031 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\b\insrsid8130460 WWP m}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid6429728 ultiple cause}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031  diagram}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid11434279  animated tutorial}{\rtlch\fcs1 
\af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031 
\par 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031\charrsid11353773 This }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 multiple cause}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031  }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid14886031\charrsid11353773 diagram contains }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 text}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid8130460 ,}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031  }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid8130460 arrows }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 and }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid8130460 shapes, including }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 circles}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid14886031\charrsid11353773 .}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031  In this description the term \'93label\'94 refers to text in the diagram, and the term \'93phrase\'94 refers to text in the audio description or transcript. }{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 
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\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr
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\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid11434279 Page\cell Transcript\cell Description\cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
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\clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr
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\ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031 Page 1}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031\charrsid1861186 \cell }\pard \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid6429728 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 The WWP summary suggests many factors or events which might act as start
ing points for tracing paths of causality and consequence. Examples include the spread of invasive species to South Africa, water conflicts, ecosystem degeneration, and post-apartheid policy on natural resources. You can probably think of others. Each exa
mple would provide a very rich and interesting source for exploration, but I\rquote d need more information in order to generate meaningful multiple cause diagrams.
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500 
Four rectangular shapes appear on the page.
\par Inside each of these four shapes is a central label, with arrows pointing to and from other points, represented by question marks. 
\par The labels are: \'93spread of invasive species\'94, \'93water conflicts\'94, \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 and \'93post-apartheid policy on natural resources\'94. These are highlighted when they are mentioned in the audio description.}{\rtlch\fcs1 
\af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
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\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid11434279 Page 2}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid6375580 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid6429728 You also need to be cautious in assigning factors as being causal rather than simply influential. Claims of causality often require more information or evidence. This is why influence diagramming is often considered as providing \lquote 
safer ground\rquote  for mapping. In developing the multiple cause diagram we\rquote ll explore the causes and consequences associated with the implementation of the WWP. }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500 The page goes blank. 
\par The label \'93Working for Water Programme (WWP)\'94 appears, with two arrows pointing from it to the labels \'93introduction of water charges\'94 and \'93water policy\'94.
\par Over this, the label \'93Influence diagram or Casual diagram\'94 appears. At the phrase \'93This is why influence diagramming is often considered\'85\'94, a tick symbol appears next to \'93Influence diagram\'94 and a question mark appears next to \'93
Causal diagram\'94. }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \trowd \irow2\irowband2\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid11434279 Page 3}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid6375580 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid6429728 The first task is to identify the immediate causes for the implementation of the programme. These appear to relate to economic, social, political and ecological drivers associated with post-apartheid South Africa.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500 The page goes blank.
\par The central label \'93Implementation of Working for Work Programme (WWP)\'94 appears. A number of labels with arrows pointing to the central label appear: \'93pressure from environmentalists\'94, \'93inability to provide quality water for all\'94, \'93
impoverished black South Africans\'94, \'93high rural black unemployment\'94, \'93post-apartheid demand for stakeholder participation\'94 and \'93availability of government resources\'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell 
}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid14886031 \trowd \irow3\irowband3\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 
\ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid11434279 Page 4\cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 It\rquote s then possible to trace back
 further causal factors associated with each of the immediate causes. The spread of invasive species seems to be particularly important and so I\rquote 
ve encircled it. Another key factor for the WWP is the availability of government resources to support the programme.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500 
A number of additional labels and arrows appear.
\par Pointing at \'93impoverished black South Africans\'94 is the label \'93apartheid governance \rquote 48-\lquote 94\'94. 
\par Pointing at \'93availability of government resources\'94 is an arrow from the label \'93development of rural economy\'94.
\par Pointing at \'93inability to provide quality water for all\'94 is an arrow from the label \'93poor water quantity and availability\'94. Pointing at \'93poor water quantity and availability\'94 and the label \'93reduced bioversity\'94
 are arrows from the label \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94. Pointing at \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 is an arrow from the label \'93spread of invasive species\'94. Pointing at \'93spread of invasive species\'94 is an arrow from the label \'93
failure of conventional sector-based agricultural development\'94.
\par At the phrase \'93the spread of invasive species\'94 a circle appears around that label.
\par At the phrase \'93Another key factors for the WWP\'94 a circle appears around \'93availability of government resources\'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 
\trowd \irow4\irowband4\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid11434279 Page 5}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid6375580 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid6429728 After tracing the direct and indirect lines of causality, it\rquote s then poss
ible to begin identifying the immediate and less immediate consequences of the programme. Job creation, as well as environmental protection, are perhaps the most important consequences for the programme.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 
\cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500 A number of additional labels and arrows appear.
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14966371 Four}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500  new points appear with arrows pointing from the central label \'93Implementation of Working for Water Programme (WWP)\'94. These are: \'93
improved biodiversity, quality and quantity of water\'94, \'93revenue from products arising from clearance\'94, \'93}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14966371 artisan skills developed\'94 and \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94.

\par From \'93improved biodiversity, quality and quantity of water\'94 arrows point to the new label \'93rising costs of implementation\'94 and to \'93availability of government resources\'94.
\par From \'93revenue from products arising from clearance\'94 an arrow points to \'93development of rural economy\'94.
\par From \'93artisan skills developed\'94 an arrow points to \'93development of rural economy\'94.
\par From \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94 an arrow points to \'93development of rural economy\'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500 
\par A new label \'93economic return for invasive species cultivation\'94 appears with an arrow pointing to \'93spread of invasive species\'94.
\par From \'93reduced biodiversity\'94 an arrow points to \'93pressure from environmentalists\'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14966371 
\par 
\par At the phrase \'93Job creation, as well as environmental protection\'94, circles appear around the labels \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94, \'93revenue from products arising from clearance\'94 and \'93
improved biodiversity, quality and quantity of water\'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 
\af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \trowd \irow5\irowband5\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid5460440\charrsid11434279 Page 6\cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid5460440 Next it\rquote s possible to explore how some of the vari
ables affect each other to generate feedback loops. There are two types of these. Firstly, reinforcing feedback loops where variable change triggers a cycle of reinforcing change. For example, \lquote implementation of WWP\rquote  leads to \lquote 
improved biodiversity\'85\rquote  which leads to \lquote availability of government resources\rquote  which again leads to further implementation of WWP.\cell }\pard \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4215240 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid5460440 At the phrase \'93For example\'85\'94
, a series of labels and their connecting arrows is highlighted in stages. The central label \'93Implementation of Working for Water Programme (WWP)\'94 is highlighted, then both the arrow pointing to and the label \'93
improved biodiversity, quality and quantity of water\'94, then the arrow pointing to and the label \'93availability of government resources\'94, then the arrow that points back to the central label.\cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid5460440 
\trowd \irow6\irowband6\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid5460440 Page 6 plus \endash  reinforcing loops}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid6375580 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid5460440 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid5460440 
A number of other reinforcing loops highlighting different areas of the diagram are displayed on the page, numbered from 1 to 4. These are described below.
\par 
\par Reinforcing loop 1 is described above.
\par Reinforcing loop 2 highlights the central label to \'93artisan skills developed\'94 to \'93development of rural economy\'94 to \'93availability of government resources\'94 and back to the central label.
\par Reinforcing loop 3 highlights the central label to \'93revenue from products arising from clearance\'94 to \'93development of rural economy\'94 to \'93availability of government resources\'94 and back to the central label.
\par Reinforcing loop 4 highlights the central label to \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94 to \'93development of rural economy\'94 to \'93availability of government resources\'94 and back to the central label.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 
\af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \trowd \irow7\irowband7\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 
\ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid15818833 Page 7\cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 
A second type of feedback loop is where change in one variable in the loop leads to an opposite change in the next variable. The resultant \lquote loop\rquote 
 signals an opposing change. These loops consist of arrows that might require labelling. For example, the rising costs of implementing WWP may inhibit further investment. Other oppositional changes and loops might be identified by adding the verb \lquote 
reduces\rquote  on a causal link.\cell }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid15818833 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 The central label, the labels \'93
improved biodiversity, quality and quantity of water\'94 and \'93rising costs of implementation\'94 and the arrows connecting them are highlighted. 
\par Another arrow appears, pointing from \'93rising costs of implementation\'94 to \'93availability of government resources\'94. This arrow is labelled \'93inhibits\'94. 
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 At the phrase \'93Other oppositional changes and loops\'85\'94, the label \'93reduces
\'94 is added to a number of arrows over the whole diagram:  the arrow pointing from \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 to \'93economic return for invasive species cultivation\'94; the arrows pointing from \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94 to 
\'93spread of invasive species\'94, \'93impoverished black South Africans\'94 and \'93high rural black unemployment\'94.\cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 
\af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 \trowd \irow8\irowband8\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid15818833\charrsid15818833 Page 7 plus}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid15818833 - oppositional loops}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\b\insrsid14886031\charrsid15818833 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632 A number of other oppositional loops}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 
 highlighting different areas of the diagram}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632  are displayed on the page, numbered from 5 to 10. These are described below.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632 
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid3891632 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632 Oppositional loop 5 is described above, highlighting the links from the central label 
\'93Implementation of WWP\'94, to \'93improved biodiversity\'85}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 \'94 to}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632  \'93rising costs of implementation\'94 and \'93availability of
 government resources\'94.
\par Oppositional loop 6 highlights the central label, to \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94, the arrow labelled \'93reduces\'94 pointing to \'93hig}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 h rural black unemployment\'94 and }{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632 back to the central label.
\par Oppositional loop }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 7 highlights the central label }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632 to \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94, the arrow labelled \'93reduces\'94 }{\rtlch\fcs1 
\af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 pointing }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632 to \'93impoverished black South Africans\'94 and back to the central label.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 
\par Oppositional loop 8 highlights the central label to \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94, the arrow labelled \'93reduces\'94 pointing to \'93spread of invasive species\'94 to \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 to \'93reduced biodiversity\'94 to 
\'93pressure from environmentalists\'94 and back to the central label.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid3891632 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 Oppositional loop 9 highlights the central label to \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94, the arrow labelled \'93reduces\'94 pointing to \'93spread of invasive species\'94 to \'93
ecosystem degeneration\'94 to \'93poor water quantity and availability\'94 to \'93inability to provide quality water for all\'94 and back to the central label.
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid15818833 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 Oppositional loop 10 highlights the label \'93spread of invasive species\'94 to \'93
ecosystem degeneration\'94, the arrow labelled \'93reduces\'94 pointing to \'93economic return for invasive species cultivation\'94 and back to \'93spread of invasive species\'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell 
}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid14886031 \trowd \irow9\irowband9\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 
\ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031 Page 8}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031\charrsid1861186 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid6429728 On a multiple cause diagram, it\rquote s the loops that provide important clues as to where intervention might be appropriate. For example, the loop from WWP to \lquote revenue from\'85\rquote  to \lquote development of rural economy
\rquote  to \lquote availability\'85\rquote  back to WWP suggests that strategies to increase revenue from clearance products might be a useful point of intervention.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 All highlighting disappears.
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid15818833 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid15818833 The following loop is highlighted: from the central label, to \'93
revenue from products arising from clearance\'94 to \'93development of rural economy\'94 to \'93availability of government resources\'94 back to the central label.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 
\trowd \irow10\irowband10\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031 Page 9}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031\charrsid1861186 \cell }\pard \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid6429728 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 
I went through a number of versions and lots of scrap paper before achieving my final diagram. One of my earlier sketches is shown here. There are a number of difficulties with this 
version. First, there are lines crossing, which make it difficult to read.
\par 
\par I then had to try and arrange the elements of the diagram to avoid any possible confusion.
\par 
\par The diagram is also too congested with too many variables. One way to deal with this is to identify variables that might be of a similar type and to cluster them together.
\par 
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 
Whilst removing some variables, it also struck me that other important variables were missing.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\nowidctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\faauto\rin0\lin0\pararsid1998830 {\rtlch\fcs1 
\af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid1998830 The page goes blank.
\par A}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid8130460 t the phrase \'93One of my earlier sketches\'85\'94 a}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid1998830 nother 
version of the multiple cause diagram is shown. This description will first cover the arrows and labels pointing from the central label, and their further links; and then the arrows and labels pointing at the central label, and their further links.
\par 
\par The central label is the same as before: \'93Implementation of Working for Water Programme (WWP)\'94. From the central label six arrows point away to the labels: \'93legislation on water charges (\rquote 97)\'94, \'93improved quality and quantity of water
\'94, \'93rising costs of implementation\'94, \'93artisan skills developed\'94, \'93revenue from products arising from clearance\'94 and \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94 (which is circled).
\par 
\par From \'93legislation on water charges (\rquote 97)\'94 there are two arrows pointing to the labels \'93preferential water charges for landowners cultivating invasive species\'94 and \'93revenue from water charges\'94. From \'93revenue from water charges
\'94 an arrow points to the label \'93funds made available\'94. From "preferential water charges\'85" an arrow points to "high economic return for invasive species cultivation".
\par From \'93improved quality and quantity of water\'94 there is an arrow pointing to \'93increased international profile\'94.
\par From \'93rising costs of implementation\'94 there is an arrow, pointing to \'93funds made available".
\par From \'93revenue from products arising from clearance\'94 \'93artisan skills developed\'94 and from \'93job creation to remove invasive species\'94, arrows point to \'93development of rural economy\'94, from which an arrow points to \'93
funds made available\'94.
\par 
\par There are 5 arrows pointed at the central label: \'93inability to provide quality water for all\'94, \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94, \'93policy on water as common property resource (\rquote 98)\'94, \'93
post-apartheid demand for stakeholder participation" and \'93high rural black unemployment\'94.
\par 
\par From \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 two arrows point to the labels \'93poor water quality\'94 and \'93poor water availability\'94. Two arrows point to \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 from the labels \'93spread of invasive species\'94 and \'93
failure of conventional sector-based agricultural development\'94.
\par From the label \'93failure of conventional\'85\'94, a further arrow points to \'93spread of invasive species\'94. There are arrows pointed at these two labels from the label "high economic return for invasive species cultivation".
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid16196625 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid1998830 From the label "spread of invasive species" an arrow po
ints to the label "cultural preference for non-native species". A further arrow points to this label from "apartheid governance '48-'94", which also points to "impoverished black South Africans".
\par Please note that a number of the direction arrows are }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid8130460 overlapping}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid1998830  in this diagram.}{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1998830 
\par 
\par At the phrase \'93there are lines crossing\'94, the arrows that are overlapping are highlighted, then }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid7755140 the highlight }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1998830 fade}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 
\ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid7755140 s}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1998830 .
\par At the phrase \'93One way to try and deal with this\'94, the labels \'93poor water quality\'94 and \'93poor water availability\'94 are highlighted and merge to form a new label: \'93poor water quality and availability\'94
. This label has one arrow pointing to it from \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 and has another arrow pointing to \'93inability to provide quality water for all\'94.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid7755140 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1998830 
\par At the phrase \'93whilst removing some variables\'94, a number of new labels and arrows appear on the diagram. From the label \'93ecosystem degeneration\'94 an arrow pointing to the label \'93reduced biodiversity\'94
 with a question mark, a further arrow pointing to \'93pressure from environmentalists\'94 and another question mark, and an arrow pointing back to the central label appear. Another label with an arrow pointing to the central label also appears: \'93
availability of g}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid7755140 overnment resources\'94. This label}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid1998830  has two arrows pointed at it from \'93development of rural economy\'94 and \'93
rising costs of implementation\'94 (this arrow is labelled \'93inhibits\'94 with a question mark).}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid5855038 
\par From the label \'93improved quality and quantity of water\'94 an arrow pointing to the label \'93more WWP projects\'94 and a further arrow pointing to \'93rising costs of implementation\'94 appear.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell 
}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid14886031 \trowd \irow11\irowband11\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 
\ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031 Page 10}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031\charrsid1861186 \cell }\pard \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid6429728 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 
In drafting a multiple cause diagram you need to think about presentational issues, such as avoiding crossed lines and having too many variables. You also need to think about substantive issues. Are all the 
key variables present? Are some variables less important? Check if any variables can be removed.
\par 
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 Are the suggested variables perhaps more of \lquote influence\rquote  rather than 
\lquote cause\rquote ? Make sure the causal links are clear to you or to others. Looking at the final dr
aft, what questions occur to you about the presentational aspects? How might you present different variables? What about the substantive elements? For example, which feedback loop is particularly important as a possible focus for future intervention to im
prove the success of WWP?}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid5855038 At the phrase \'93}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid7755140 Are all the key variables present?\'94 the labels \'93reduced biodiversity\'94, \'93pressure from environmentalists\'94, \'93more WWP projects\'94, and \'93availability of government resources\'94
 are highlighted and }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid7755140 then the highlight fades.
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid7755140 
\par At the phrase \'93Are some variables less important\'94, the labels \'93cultural preference for non-native species\'94, \'93legislation on water charges (\rquote 97)\'94, \'93increased international profile\'94 and \'93
policy on water as common property resource (\rquote 98)\'94 are highlighted, }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid7755140 and then the highlight fades.}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid7755140  }{
\rtlch\fcs1 \af36 \ltrch\fcs0 \f36\lang1033\langfe1033\langnp1033\insrsid5855038 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid8986100 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid5460440 At the phrase \'93Looking at the final draft\'94 the previous version}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid8986100  of the multiple cause diagram is displayed}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 
\insrsid5855038 , with the arrows labelled \'93reduces\'94 and \'93inhibits\'94 described above}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid8986100 .}{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 
\trowd \irow12\irowband12\ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row \ltrrow}\pard\plain \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 
\f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \b\insrsid14886031\charrsid10946169 Summary\cell }\pard \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid6429728 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid6429728 Summary
\par 
\par 1 Identify the event to be explored and write this down on lower half of paper.
\par 
\par 2 Note the various direct immediate agencies of change (variables or other \lquote events\rquote ) that brought about the event using arrows to indicate causal connections.
\par 
\par 3 Trace indirect less-immediate agencies of change as sub-causes by continually working backwards from the main event.
\par 
\par 4 Similarly, explore any consequences (either intended or unintended) arising from the chosen event and map these out as variables/ events on your diagram.
\par 
\par 5 Identify and indicate with arrows whether variables/ events might be causally interconnected. Label any arrows that have an inhibiting or reducing effect.
\par 
\par 6 Encircle those variables or events that you feel are particularly significant.
\par 
\par 7 Identify any causal loops either inhibiting or reinforcing activities shown on your diagram.
\par }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\pararsid4811500 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 \cell \cell }\pard\plain \ltrpar
\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\intbl\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0 \rtlch\fcs1 \af31507\afs24\alang1025 \ltrch\fcs0 \f31506\fs24\lang2057\langfe1033\cgrid\langnp2057\langfenp1033 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 
\trowd \irow13\irowband13\lastrow \ltrrow\ts15\trgaph108\trleft-108\trbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrh\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trbrdrv
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \trftsWidth1\trftsWidthB3\trpaddl108\trpaddr108\trpaddfl3\trpaddft3\trpaddfb3\trpaddfr3\tbllkborder\tbllkshading\tbllkfont\tbllkcolor\tbllkbestfit\tbllkhdrrows\tbllkhdrcols\tblind0\tblindtype3 \clvertalt\clbrdrt
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth1384\clshdrawnil \cellx1276\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 
\clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6095\clshdrawnil \cellx7371\clvertalt\clbrdrt\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrl\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrb\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \clbrdrr
\brdrs\brdrw10\brdrcf17 \cltxlrtb\clftsWidth3\clwWidth6379\clshdrawnil \cellx13750\row }\pard \ltrpar\ql \li0\ri0\widctlpar\wrapdefault\aspalpha\aspnum\faauto\adjustright\rin0\lin0\itap0 {\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid14886031 
\par 
\par }{\rtlch\fcs1 \af31507 \ltrch\fcs0 \insrsid4811500 
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