Stage 4 Part B: Multiple Island sketch scenarios
Multiple islands can then be drawn as sketch scenarios to explore how different combinations of factors might ‘wash ashore’ and redraw the map of relationships in the future.
How might our transactional environments change, depending on how these uncertainties play out in combination? Would there be new or different actors on the island? Would the relationships and values change? How would the island differ from today?
Consider:
- What are the external factors relevant to your focus area, that could be critical to your work if they were to change?
- What difference does it make if you change your time ‘horizon’?
- What are the signs that this type of change might already be happening?