Rent or buy? The challenge of access to housing
Rent or buy? The challenge of access to housing

Start this free course now. Just create an account and sign in. Enrol and complete the course for a free statement of participation or digital badge if available.

Free course

Rent or buy? The challenge of access to housing

2.7 Housing affordability in the UK

With the focus now on the UK, now you will explore a range of measures of housing affordability to see if UK house prices are ‘too high’.

Figures 7−9 show three different measures of affordability for two different types of buyer: first-time buyers who are more likely to be from younger generations; and existing homeowners who will typically be older. The three measures are:

  • House price-to-income ratio (Figure 7). Unlike Figure 6, this is the actual ratio itself not an index relative to the long-run average. The ratio shows by how many times house prices are higher than the annual gross income of buyers. For example in 2016, on average first-time buyers homes cost 4.5 times the amount of their annual income.
  • Deposit as a percentage of the house purchase price (Figure 8). For example, in 2016, existing owners on average put down a deposit equal to 35% of the purchase price of the property. (The remaining 65% was provided by a mortgage loan.)
  • Proportion of household income spent on mortgage repayments (Figure 9). For example, in 2016, first-time buyers spent 17.5% of their gross income on mortgage payments. A common ‘heuristic’ (meaning a rule-of-thumb or mental short-cut) is that households should spend no more than 30% of their disposable income on total housing costs (mortgage or rent, regular property taxes and home insurance) but of course individual households may have to, or choose to, spend more.

When looking at Figures 7−9, it’s important to bear in mind that you are looking at data only for people who have bought homes. Trends in the data are useful as an indicator of how affordability has changed over time. However, they do not tell you anything about the number of households who may have wanted to buy a home but have been squeezed out of the market by rising house prices.

Described image
Figure 7 UK house price-to-income ratio, 1988–2016. Source: authors’ chart based on ONS (2017), Table 30.
Described image
Figure 8 UK deposit as a percentage of house price, 1988–2016. Source: authors’ chart based on ONS (2017), Table 30.
Described image
Figure 9 UK mortgage payments as percentage of income, 1988–2016. Source: authors’ chart based on ONS (2017), Table 30.

Activity 5 Comparing affordability measures over time

Timing: Allow about 30 minutes

Based on Figures 7 to 9, write two paragraphs:

  • a.the first comparing the three measures of housing affordability in the UK for first-time buyers and existing owners over the period 1988 to 2016.
  • b.the second giving your conclusion, based on the evidence in the charts, on whether UK house prices are ‘too high’.
To use this interactive functionality a free OU account is required. Sign in or register.
Interactive feature not available in single page view (see it in standard view).

Discussion

There are many different paragraphs you could write, but here is an example of the points you are likely to have included:

  • a.There was a marked upward shift in the house price-to-income ratio from 2004 onwards, affecting both first-time buyers and existing owners, suggesting that UK homes became less affordable. Deposits as a percentage of purchase price have not changed greatly over the period for existing owners, but have generally increased for first-time buyers reaching a high of about 28% in 2009 before falling back to 20% in 2016. By contrast, mortgage payments as a percentage of income, while higher for first-time buyers than existing owners, have fallen for both groups over the period.
  • b.The evidence from Figures 7 to 9 suggests that house prices have increased relative to income over the last decade or so and that first-time buyers are having to find larger deposits than in the past before they can get on the housing ladder. However, once they have made the purchase, the cost of their monthly mortgage payments is more affordable than in the past.

It’s important to bear in mind that the data describe the average experience of first-time buyers and existing homeowners. For example, they tell you nothing about regional variations. However, using these national averages, you might be wondering how mortgages can be more affordable even though house prices have risen. It’s this topic you will turn to next.

DB125_1

Take your learning further

Making the decision to study can be a big step, which is why you'll want a trusted University. The Open University has 50 years’ experience delivering flexible learning and 170,000 students are studying with us right now. Take a look at all Open University courses.

If you are new to University-level study, we offer two introductory routes to our qualifications. You could either choose to start with an Access module, or a module which allows you to count your previous learning towards an Open University qualification. Read our guide on Where to take your learning next for more information.

Not ready for formal University study? Then browse over 1000 free courses on OpenLearn and sign up to our newsletter to hear about new free courses as they are released.

Every year, thousands of students decide to study with The Open University. With over 120 qualifications, we’ve got the right course for you.

Request an Open University prospectus371