Developing career resilience
Developing career resilience

Start this free course now. Just create an account and sign in. Enrol and complete the course for a free statement of participation or digital badge if available.

Free course

Developing career resilience

4 Careers of the future

In this section you will fast forward to the long-term vision, to give a sense of the kind of changes the government anticipates might – or might not – come in the next 15 years. No one can predict the future, but awareness of possible major change in an occupational sector can help people to assess levels of risk and respond ahead of time. How future aware are you?

In 2014 the UK Commission for Employment and Skills (UKCES) produced The Future of Work: Jobs and Skills in 2030. They suggested different possible scenarios for work in the future – each dependent upon the way in which the economy may, or may not, grow (UKCES, 2014). Two of these scenarios are presented below: Figure 1 shows ‘business-as-usual’, which looks at how the way we work now will gradually change in the future; Figure2 shows a more disruptive ‘skills activism’ scenario.

Common to both scenarios is the increasing influence of online working and creation of a ‘virtual’ workforce, artificial intelligence and robotics. Some projections from the United States (US) have robotics and artificial intelligence automating more than 40% of jobs in the US in the next 20 years.

The business-as-usual scenario (Figure 1) looks at the implications of increasing forced flexibility of workers and increased competition for lower skilled jobs. Skills activism projects (Figure 2) what could happen if current technological change leads to large-scale job losses.

Described image
Figure _unit4.4.1 Figure 1 2030 Business as usual
Described image
Figure _unit4.4.2 Figure 2 2030 Disruptive scenario

Activity _unit4.4.1 Activity 6 Looking to 2030

Timing: Allow about 15 minutes

Note down what you think is most striking about the two scenarios and how this information might relate to the sector in which you are working.

What action do you think an individual could take to respond to these suggested pictures of the future?

To use this interactive functionality a free OU account is required. Sign in or register.
Interactive feature not available in single page view (see it in standard view).

Comment

Developments in technology, ICT and high-tech industries are a common theme. The need to learn new skills, or to update existing ones, will be increasingly important.

The Future of Work report identified that increased individual responsibility would be a key aspect of working life in the future. As the world of work becomes more flexible, employees will be expected to shoulder more and more responsibility for skills development. Self-management (e.g. juggling part-time roles with two employers), project management expertise and the ability to promote your personal brand will become increasingly vital.

Personal agility – the ability to adapt to or embrace change – is also important here. This will be particularly the case for young people who will be competing against those with more experience.

International competition and technological development are likely to continue to increase the flexibility that employers demand from their employees (UKCES, 2014).

These are scenarios of possible futures. No one can know what might come to be, and it is likely that wholly unanticipated trends will also play a part. However, given the scale of the possible change, career resilience looks likely to be needed increasingly.

How comfortable do you feel hedging your bets against eventualities which may never happen? Which are the aspects of these scenarios that might enthuse you? Confidence despite uncertainty is another aspect of career resilience you could consider.

Skip Your course resources
DCR_1

Take your learning further

Making the decision to study can be a big step, which is why you'll want a trusted University. The Open University has 50 years’ experience delivering flexible learning and 170,000 students are studying with us right now. Take a look at all Open University courses.

If you are new to University-level study, we offer two introductory routes to our qualifications. You could either choose to start with an Access module, or a module which allows you to count your previous learning towards an Open University qualification. Read our guide on Where to take your learning next for more information.

Not ready for formal University study? Then browse over 1000 free courses on OpenLearn and sign up to our newsletter to hear about new free courses as they are released.

Every year, thousands of students decide to study with The Open University. With over 120 qualifications, we’ve got the right course for you.

Request an Open University prospectus371