Human beings are complex life systems. As you get older, you experience the effects of ageing. But what is the ageing experience?
There are certain ‘hallmarks of ageing’. Figure 1 is based on research into the ageing process using insects as models, but the process equally applies to human beings.
There are many complicated processes going on here, but you don’t need to know the details. The most apparent hallmark of ageing is ‘genomic instability’. Here, the effect of unstable genomes could reduce life expectancy. All of the ‘hallmarks of ageing’ indicate a reduction in life expectancy. So how does this affect human beings in the 21st century?
You probably know that the population of the world is increasing and that older people are living longer. This is reported in the news almost every day. There are constant worries in western society about how to support our ageing populations, from providing care homes and long-term medical care (which can be very expensive) to state pensions. As a direct result of statistical analysis, most people are well aware of these financial implications; from reduced life insurance premiums to an increase in retirement age.
Figure 2 indicates how the population of the world changed between 1950 and 2000, and how it is anticipated to increase by 2050. This chart was produced by the Population Division of the Department of Economic and Social Affairs of the United Nations in 2005, so it is already out of date.
Now, using the data in Figure 2, complete Activity 1.
Allow approximately 20 minutes
Answer the following questions by choosing the one correct option for each.
1. Between 1950 and 2000, how has the population of the 0 to 19-year-old group changed? (Hint: compare the green shaded regions of the first two circles.)
2. What is the expected proportion of this same age group by 2050? (Hint: look at the green shaded region of the third circle.)
3. How does the population of the 20 to 64-year-old group change between 1950 and 2050? (Hint: compare the blue shaded regions of the first and third circles.)
4. What is expected to happen to the 65+-year-old group from 1950 to 2050? (Hint: Compare the yellow shaded regions of the first and third circles.)
5. As a proportion of the world’s population, which age group changes the most between 1950 and 2050? (Hint: compare the changes of the age ranges. Which group has the largest change?)
You can now appreciate not only how the world’s population has changed between 1950 and 2000, but also how it is anticipated to change by 2050. The following statistics are given relative to the world’s population for the year concerned.
You have looked at how the world’s population is expected to change between 1950 and 2050. Next, you will look at these changes as they impact on individual countries.
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