Module1_Lecture2_Food and Sustainability, transcript Apr 21, 2021 --- Hello, my name is Alana Kluczkovski and you are on the course "climate change, food systems and Planetary Health". On the first lecture, we defined the concept of climate change, greenhouse gases and greenhouse gas emissions. So, if you missed this, please go back and have a look before you start this lecture. Further information of this course is found on our guide notes and please have a look if you have any questions, so let's get it start. Lecture number 2 - planetary health and climate change - understanding the intersections of planetary health and climate change. So, to start this conversation while human health has progressed, the depletion of our natural system threatens our ability to maintain these improvements. Planetary health challenges current barriers between disciplines and explores the connections between them. Now, The Lancet is Launching a new Journal called Planetary Health, which brings together a wide range of existing disciplines to ensure a healthy and sustainable future. Five years ago, The University College London Commission concluded that climate change is the biggest threat to human health in the 21st century. Health has entered a new epoch in which environmental factors under adverse human influence, must become the focus worldwide. This recognition, sparked to Planetary Health initiative, spearheaded by the Lancet, which is motivated by acceptance of the different fundamental need for collective achievement of a world that "nourishes and sustains the diversity of life with which we coexist and on which we depend". It said, so, in this lecture, we will learn the concepts of the planetary health and how they are connected with climate change. Let's start asking what is it climate change? So, climate change refers to any significant long-term change in normal climate conditions, such as temperature, precipitation, extreme weather events, wind pattern, snow cover and sea level rise. In fact, we started to talk about and to discuss this on the previous lecture when we talked about the past, the current and future climate. How it is changing. Why it's changing as well. So, this refers to global warming due to human emissions, as we said, anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases, and the resulting large in scale shifting weather patterns around the globe. The causes of climate change have accelerated due to human activity over the past century, and as I said, for example, with land-use for food food production. So, climate change is a global problem, impacting on human lives and health as well as ecosystems in a variety of ways. Over a hundred and fifty thousand deaths that are estimated to occur annually as a result of extreme weather events or as a result of extreme weather conditions. And between 2030 to 2050 climate change is expected to cause approximately 250 times additional deaths per year from malnutrition, malaria, diarrhea and heat stress. If so, the direct impact caused impact costs to health are currently estimated to be between two to four billion dollars per year. So, with this we see long term change in normal climate conditions. We see global warming due to human activities or anthropogenic greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, the increasing in extreme weather conditions or extreme weather event, as we saw on the last lecture, and agricultural practice as the main factor that should contribute to climate change. And who will be most affected by climate change climate change? The impact of climate change in the countries of the global South, usually with less financial resources and more vulnerable to the climate crisis, is quite complex giving the lower capacity to respond to these extreme weather events in which can affect local agriculture and food security. All countries of the global South will be most affected by climate change it is the is being and will be more affected as well and those extreme weather events can also intensify migratory movement and forcing families to look for other regions. So, with better living conditions and opportunities. These migratory movement will be intensified. Throughout this transition process, there may be food insecurity among other risk factors for the the health of those individuals. In this infographics from World World Health Organization about climate change, It discusses whether the climate change threatens your health. So, we started to discuss on the previous lecture, whether you live in a rural village, a small island or a coastal town, a big city... in all of those places climate change threatens your health. But how it works? So, droughts, floods and heat waves will increase and vector-borne diseases like malaria and dengue virus will increase due to the changes on the climate. Thought basic necessities will be disrupted. For example, hunger and famine will increase as food production is destabilised by drought. Also, pollution and pollen seasons will increase leading to more allergies and Asthma. Warmer waters and flooding will increase exposures to disease in drinking and recreational waters. And finally, between 2030 and 2050, climate change is expected to cause 250,000 additional deaths per year due to due to malaria, malnutrition (we are going to discuss all forms of malnutrition later on - so, keep this idea discussed now), and also other diseases that can occur will be diarrhea and heat stress. Although global warming may bring some localized benefits such as fewer winter deaths in temperature climates and increased food production in certain areas, the overall health effects of a changing climate are overwhelmingly negative. Climate change affects many of the social and environmental determinants of Health - as so, clean air, safe drinking water, supply sufficient food and secure shelter. What are the consequences of climate change? We highlight three at this slide, which says global warming, generalized decrease in the cryosphere, and ocean levels rising. The global warming is estimated to reach 1.5 degrees celsius being between 2030 and 2050 if it continues to increase at the current rate. These numbers can vary as we discussed. It could be two, we could be three, could be 1.5 and it will depend of the analysis that has been done and also the current rate. Global warming is identified as the the biggest cause of long-term changes in the climate system, and it's mainly related to the oceans and the cryosphere: The cryosphere gathers the frozen components of the system terrestrial. About 10 percent of the land area is covered by glaciers and ice sheets; the ocean and the cryosphere supports unique habitats and are interconnected with other components of the climate system through the global exchange of water, energy and carbon. In recent decades, global warming has led to a generalized decrease in the cryosphere; the oceans have warmed uninterruptedly since 1970 and its levels are rising, with acceleration in the last few decades; these Cryospheric changes are designed to further increase in the second half of the 21st century in a scenario of high emissions of greenhouse gases, such as we have seen currently. If nothing is done, the consequences of these changes will be inevitable, abrupt and Irreversible and Lasting decades to Millennia. What is planetary Health planetary? Planetary Health involves environmental changes, human health and it is this sense of transdisciplinarity. So, to start, planetary health is this idea that the health of the the planet isn't separated from our own human health. They are connected. It's a new and transdisciplinary field of study that focuses on the impact of Global Environmental changes on human health. It investigates how humans are changing the natural world - as our expanding population, changes in technology, and consumptions and production patterns are substantially changing the land, atmosphere, oceans, and more - and also, Seeks to to find solutions that simulataneously improve the health of humans and the natural systems and biodiversity upon which humanity depends on. Planetary Health assesses how global population, climate change, biodiversity loss, autered biogeochemical cycles, and changes in land use and resource scarcity and all of these are decreasing the quality of the air we breathe, the water we drink and the food that we cultivate, which in turns is exposing us to new diseases, decreasing our access to fresh water and other resources and also are increasing the incidence of social-environmental disasters. All of these results have negative consequences for our nutrition, mental health and susceptibility to injury and illness. Said so, Planetary Health is the achievement of the highest attainable standard of health, well-being, and equity worldwide through judicious attentions attention to the human systems, for example, political economic and social and that shape the future of humanity and the Earth's natural system that defined the safe environmental limits within which Humanity can flourish. This video is less than five minutes and it's produced by planetary Health Alliance. It discusses the rapid human-caused transformations of our natural environment and its health impact, and also the field of planetary health. So, it will be very interesting for you to watch this video to visualize the concept. So, click on the link that will redirect you to YouTube page and you can watch the video. What is the difference between Planetary Health and environmental health? Let's start with environmental health. Environmental health focus on human exposure to the environment as a health risk rather than on the the health of the environment itself (except when it creates a risk of human health). While an important component of Planetary Health, environmental health typically studies well known pathogens, or toxicological pathways, for example air and water pollution, rather than seeking to understand and address complex human health impacts of anthropogenic environmental change. Planetary Health though, is a transdisciplinary and systems-based approach that takes into account the health of the people as it relates to our planet's changing conditions, for example, environmental, socialcultural, economic, political and much more. Additionally, Planetary Health has a global end solutions oriented focus that aims to evaluated and develop evidence-based strategies for not only sustaining life on Earth, but regenerating and equitably protecting the health and well-being of humans, biodiversity and natural systems. The historical evolution of the term Planetary Health indicates a paradigm shift in both fields from more reductionist concepts of environmental health, focused on occupational health and classic toxicology, to a more holistic and action-orientated science. The way we interact with the environment can have several negative consequences, and COVID-19 is one of them. New outbreaks like this can occur if there is no changing the way Humanity produces food, feeds and coexists with the environment. COVID-19 has impacted the whole world and ways of producing food not only impact a higher risk of obesity and malnutrition ,but also an increased risk for infectious diseases. According to the United Nations Environmental Program (UNEP), the frequency with which pathogenic microorganisms, such as, bacteria and viruses are transmitted from animals to humans is increasing due to the unsustainability of human actions. UNEP also points out at least seven main factors that leads to the emergency of zoonotic diseases, including increased demand for animal protein, unsustainable agricultural intensification, climate change, unsustainable management of natural resources and the exploitation of wildlife. Thus, the relationship between COVID-19 and the environmental degradation is remarkable. United Nations launched into 2015 the agenda 2030 to promote sustainable development through a global agreement. The agenda has 17 Sustainable Development Goals as known as SDGs and each of them has a specific goals to help countries end with poverty and other depravations, improve health and education, reduce inequality and stimulate economic growth, in addition to combating climate change and work to preserve the oceans and forests. Specifically the SDG 13, dealt with actions against global climate change. Climate change is an urgent usual worldwide. We have discussed this. However, this concern is not new: in 1988 the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC was founded and it was at this time that it gathered scientific information on climate events and proposed mitigation solutions and alternatives for adapting to Natural or man-made phenomenon. The IPCC represents the world's greatest authority on the issue and has been used as a basis for a guiding government decision-making. According to the 2018 IPCC report, global warming is likely to reach 1.5 degrees Celsius between to 2030 and 2052, if it continues to increase at the current rate. As we have discussed, the consequences of this warming, as we also discussed on the previous lecture, are unprecedented and their impacts are priceless. Our transport systems are inefficient, Pollution and drive CO2 , carbon dioxide, into the atmosphere, which directly harms the environment and people's Health. The same can be said of our energy and food systems. The livestock sector is also responsible for significant greenhouse gas emission. Therefore, we can tackle climate change by adopting sustainable Food Systems and healthy diets. For this, we may reduce red and processed meat consumption and increase the consumption of fruit and vegetables and also use sustainable transport instead of, for example, we should walk, cycle and use the public transport, because this will clean the air and increase physical activity and reduce additional diseases, like obesity. So let's keep this information of sustainable transport and sustainable Food Systems and healthy diets because we're going to discuss this on the third lecture. Okay?! Myanmar is one of the countries most affected by extreme weather events, and there are some reasons for why the weather is changing. The climate in Myanmar is already changing and between 1981 and 2010 average temperature increased by 0.25 Celsius degrees. The pace of warming has been faster in Inland than in coastal areas. Comparing these two areas and annual total rainfall increased slightly between 1981 and 2010, with a greater rate of increase in coastal areas than in inland. Recent events, such as Cyclone Nargis in 2008, Giri in 2010, and the extreme heat waves in 2010 ,flooding in 2015, and 2018, garbage fire in Township of Yangon. All of these events have had disastrous impacts on Myanmar people, environment and economy. And this is obviously a result of increased rate of rainfall, increased average temperature, and faster warming in inland, as we see here. Now increasing in temperature, warming in inland more than coastal areas, and more rainfall is larger rainfall then the country used to have. What are the practical impacts in Myanmar? First, on the natural environment: we have changes to the sea level, as we've discussed a little bit; changes in temperature norms, and precipitation rates and predictability. On the Human Side we have: food production affected, habitability, potable water issues, and prevalence in the spread of vector-borne disease. We've also discussed this a little bit. So, as an overview... Myanmar is highly vulnerable to the negative effects of the climate change and projected impacts are viewed through the lens of the the most recent IPCC reports in climate models and discussed in relation to two vulnerable areas in Burmese society and governance. So Myanmar's environment, people in society are at significat risk; higher temperatures, altered precipitation rate and predictability. So, these are the most issues that we see in the natural environment. Also, the higher sea levels will lead to habitability issues of low-lying and coastal areas and reduced and agriculture output that will affect food production. On the Human Side and we will also have impact on the prevalence and spread of vector-borne disease and loss of habitable land also impacting human side. In 2015, as part of the Building Resilience and Adaptation to Climate Extremes and Disasters (BRACED) project also funded by the UK Department of International Development, BBC Media Action carried out a survey with people in Myanmar. Researchers interviewed 3,000 people between July and September of 2015 in five geographic zones in Myanmar: Coastal, Delta, Dry, Hilly and Plain. Using findings from the quantitative study, BBC Media Action has built a Nationally representative picture of how people in Myanmar live and deal with changes in the weather and environment. Understanding a number of key topics is essential for creating communication that motivates people to take action. These include people's concerns in life, their perception of changes in the climate, ways of adapting to these changes, preparations for extreme weather events, and media access and the most trusted sources on issues relating to changes in the weather and environment. As shown in this infographic, people interviewed in Myanmar have perceived widespread changes in the weather over the last 10 years. Many feel that temperatures are on the ris,e while half of them feel that the rainfall has increased. So those are perceptions collected through the survey and they also feel that the environment has changed. 80% of respondents belief that the number of insects and pests has increased and three in five respondents perceived that the number of trees has decreased in the country. Finally, many of the interviewed also noted pressure on agriculture production in the country: over a quarter (about 28%) few that this has decreased over the past decade. And with this panel, we finish this lecture and recap what we've learned. First, although global warming may bring some localized benefits, such as fewer winter deaths in temperate climates and increased food production in certain areas, the overall health effects of a changing climate are overwhelmingly negative. In addition, climate change affects many of the social and environmental determinants of Health, like clean air, safe drinking water, sufficient food and secure shelter. Second, the impact of climate change in the countries of the Global South (usually with less financial resources and more vulnerable to the climate crisis) is quite complex given the lower capacity to respond to extreme weather events, and which can affect local agriculture and also food security. Number three: environmental health focuses on human exposure to the environment as a health risk, rather than on the the health of the environment itself. Planetary Health though, is a transdisciplinary and systems-based approach that takes into account the health of the people as it relates to our planet's changing conditions, such as, environmental, socialcultural, economic, political and more. Number four: United Nations launched into 2015 the agenda 2030 to promote sustainable development and is known as sustainable development goals or SDGs and each of them has a specific goal to help countries end with poverty and other deprivations, improve health and education, reduce inequality, stimulate economic growth, in addition to combating climate change and work to preserve the oceans and forests. Last but not least, Myanmar's environment, people and society are at significant risk as we saw. Higher temperatures, altered precipitation rates and rates and predictability, higher sea levels, all of these will lead to habitability issues of low-lying and coastal areas and reduced agricultural output that will affect food production. In this first Hands-On activity, I invite you to read this report, which I will give you some more information in one moment and work out the questions that you find on the guide notes of this lecture. So, in 2012, The BBC Media Action conducted a large-scale study of people's everyday experience of climate change and this study was funded also by the UK Department of National Development. Some of the question that this report attempts to answer, for example, how do people in Myanmar live with climate change now? how will it impact shape people shape people's future? and how will they in turn shape their environment? What are the most effective ways to support people to adapt to climate change? and how best can the media and government and organizations and also business communicate with people, with them, around these issues? So, please download the report and Hands-On activity!!! With this activity, we finished the first module of our course. Thank you.