10.6  El Niño and La Niña

We conclude this study session by mentioning two natural climate cycles that can affect the location and frequency of extreme weather events around the world, including in Ethiopia. The rise in sea temperature that we described in Study Session 9 has widespread effects on ocean currents, particularly in the Pacific Ocean (National Weather Service, 2006). When the Pacific Ocean is unusually warm, it generates a climate cycle known as El Niño (‘little boy’ in Spanish); when the ocean temperature is unusually cool, the climate cycle is called La Niña (‘little girl’). El Niño and La Niña have opposite effects on the climate. Even though both of these ocean currents occur far away from Ethiopia, they influence the route and speed of major airstreams and alter the pattern of rainfall around the world, so that some regions are wetter than average and others are drier (Waskom et al., 2013).

The effects of El Niño and La Niña in Ethiopia depend on which of our two rainy seasons they occur in. The belg season is from February to March and the kirmit season is from June to September. If El Niño occurs during belg, it can cause above-normal rainfall, whereas if La Niña occurs during belg, it causes below-normal rainfall (FAO, 2014). In contrast, if El Niño occurs during kirmit, it decreases the seasonal rainfall, whereas La Niña during kirmit increases rainfall above the normal level (National Weather Service, 2006).

  • Would El Niño or La Niña occurring in the belg season increase the risk of floods or droughts in Ethiopia?

  • El Niño occurring in belg can cause above-normal rainfall, so the risk of floods increases. If La Niña occurs during the belg season, it causes below-normal rainfall, so the risk of droughts increases.

  • What effects would El Niño have on WASH if it occurred during kirmit?

  • It would decrease rainfall and increase the risk of droughts; this would result in water shortages, which may force people to drink water from unsafe sources and they may also stop using water for hygiene purposes.

  • What effects would La Niña have on WASH if it occurred during kirmit?

  • It would increase rainfall, which could cause more flooding. Floods can contaminate our water resources and destroy the water supply and sanitation facilities.

In the next study session, you will look in more detail at the impacts of climate change and extreme weather events on health, environments, agriculture, water resources and the Ethiopian economy.

Summary of Study Session 10