In this Lecture block, we look at the change in future risk to infrastructure because of changes in the use and expansion of infrastructure networks. We look more closely into future socio-economic growth scenarios and how they can inform infrastructure expansion and risk. This is followed by an overview of additional methodologies and considerations to predict future infrastructure needs and inform planning. The lecture block finishes with detailed case studies on St Lucia and Curaçao, which are used to go through a process of future risk evaluation that is factored into infrastructure planning.

Lecture 13 was written by Jasper Verschuur and Lena Fuldauer, Oxford University.